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Forget Mock Drafts Who Will The Redskins Actually Pick In The First Two Rounds?

NCAA Football: Florida State at Florida Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

As draft week draws closer I wanted to put together a relatively short article on how Todd McShay and Mel Kiper are rarely right regarding the Redskins and mock drafts. I have been on HogsHaven for 5 years (which reminds me I need to ask Hunter about planning a Sabbatical) and have seen many mocks. Rarely are they predicted correctly by professionals or amateurs - though I would give the edge to the HogsHaven community and invite you to reflect on your comments from years past (some of you did very well). I wanted to make an article this year and I think there is a good chance many cyber voices around HogsHaven will be silenced in heartbreak and disappointment when Vita Vea and Da’Ron Payne are not selected by the Redskins simply because they have been mocked to the team by McShay and Kiper. This year is somewhat unique in that there have been very few comments calling Kiper and McShay idiots given they have mocked to the fanbase what they crave: Big, athletic, run stoppers. I pose a simple premise and simple question to you - disregard your favorites and predict who the Redskins will actually select in rounds one and two.

The interesting thing is that looking back at some of the other professional mocks from other sites got it spot on. Perhaps draw water from a non-McShay or Kiper well?

To remind ourselves of the difficult nature of mocking let's look back at some mock drafts from years past.

2015

McShay and Kiper’s choices for the Redskins selection at 5th overall:

Shane Ray and Donte Fowler Jr.

Kiper’s choice for the Redskins selection at 38th overall:

T.J. Clemmings (haha) and Cedric Ogbuehi

https://www.hogshaven.com/2015/2/10/8007171/2015-nfl-mock-draft-roundup-todd-mcshay-gives-the-redskins-shane-ray

https://www.hogshaven.com/2015/4/24/8486409/2015-nfl-mock-draft-roundup-mcshay-and-kiper-go-three-rounds

Actual Picks

Brandon Scherff and Preston Smith

Notes: All of you who voted for Randy Gregory or Shane Ray over Brandon should be ashamed of yourselves.

2016

McShay and Kiper’s choices for the Redskins selection at 21st (which ended up being 22nd) overall:

Karl Joseph, A’Shawn Robinson, Reggie Ragland, Andrew Billings, Ryan Kelly, and Jarran Reed

McShay and Kiper’s choices for the Redskins selection at 53rd overall:

Michael Thomas, Jihad Ward, Robert Nkemdiche

Actual Picks

Josh Doctson and Su’a Cravens

Notes:

Billings would be a fantastic pick for the Redskins this year, but there is a very good chance that he will not be available at #21.

*Snot comes out of nose

https://www.hogshaven.com/2016/3/8/11179182/mel-kipers-third-mock-gives-the-redskins-an-alabama-linebacker

https://www.hogshaven.com/2016/3/25/11303574/todd-mcshay-two-round-mock-draft-andrew-billings-to-the-redskins

https://www.hogshaven.com/2016/4/26/11336730/2016-redskins-mock-draft-roundup-alabama-defenders-dominate-draft

https://www.hogshaven.com/2016/4/28/11529310/mel-kiper-jr-and-todd-mcshays-final-mocks-give-the-redskins-espn-nfl

https://www.hogshaven.com/2016/4/18/11376950/redskins-nfl-mock-draft-roundup-defense-still-the-popular-choice

https://www.hogshaven.com/2016/4/19/11459330/espns-mel-kiper-jr-gives-the-redskins-2-alabama-players-in-grade-a

2017

McShay and Kiper’s choices for the Redskins selection at 17th overall:

JuJu Smith-Schuster, Malik Hooker, Dalvin Cook, Christian McCaffery

McShay and Kiper’s choices for the Redskins selection at 49th overall:

Joe Mixon, Caleb Brantley

Actual Picks

Jonathan Allen and Ryan Anderson

Notes: No one wanted a first round RB then but y’all want one now?

https://www.hogshaven.com/2016/12/14/13952652/todd-mcshay-mock-draft-gives-the-redskins-a-wr-in-the-1st-round-in-2017

https://www.hogshaven.com/2017/1/19/14323890/mel-kiper-gives-the-redskins-a-safety-in-his-first-2017-nfl-mock-draft

https://www.hogshaven.com/2017/3/15/14888502/nfl-mock-draft-2017-roundup-defense-is-the-popular-pick-for-the-redskins

https://www.hogshaven.com/2017/4/5/15190512/nfl-mock-draft-2017-mel-kiper-and-todd-mcshay-think-redskins-go-rb-early-in-2-round-mock-joe-mixon

2018

McShay and Kiper’s choices for the Redskins selection at 13th overall:

Vita Vea, Da’Ron Payne

McShay and Kiper’s choices for the Redskins selection at 44th overall:

Rashaad Penny, D.J. Chark, Christian Kirk, Sony Michel

https://www.hogshaven.com/2018/3/28/17171982/2018-nfl-mock-draft-mel-kiper-gives-the-redskins-vita-vea

https://www.hogshaven.com/2018/4/4/17197138/mel-kiper-and-todd-mcshay-agree-on-the-redskins-pick-in-a-dueling-2-round-mock-draft-espn-nfl

https://www.hogshaven.com/2018/4/10/17194012/nfl-mock-draft-roundup-two-rounds-from-todd-mcshay-defense-still-top-pick-for-redskins

https://www.hogshaven.com/2018/4/11/17223974/mel-kiper-and-todd-mcshay-go-3-rounds-for-the-redskins-in-their-grade-a-mock-draft-nfl

Actual Picks

? and ?

Notes: Sorry guys, the trend is against you who will it be?

Poll

Who Will The Redskins ACTUALLY Select In The 1st Round In 2018?

This poll is closed

  • 38%
    Minkah Fitzpatrick
    (1070 votes)
  • 1%
    Harold Landry
    (33 votes)
  • 2%
    Leighton Vander Esch
    (69 votes)
  • 1%
    Taven Bryan
    (48 votes)
  • 0%
    James Daniels
    (20 votes)
  • 27%
    Derrius Guice
    (764 votes)
  • 28%
    Other
    (781 votes)
2785 votes total Vote Now

Poll

Who Will The Redskins ACTUALLY Select In The 2nd Round In 2018?

This poll is closed

  • 16%
    Harrison Phillips
    (392 votes)
  • 2%
    Justin Reid
    (57 votes)
  • 5%
    Ronnie Harrison
    (132 votes)
  • 1%
    Carlton Davis
    (32 votes)
  • 2%
    Anthony Miller
    (55 votes)
  • 43%
    Nick Chubb
    (1011 votes)
  • 27%
    Other
    (636 votes)
2315 votes total Vote Now