Last week was brutal.
It was my first 'red week.' Lost in more leagues than I won. I put my trust in Jennings, Bush, and McCoy, and none of them produced. I got cute with Markus Wheaton, and he didn't pay off. Russell Wilson did save me in a few leagues with Monday Night heroics but, all in all, it was a mess.
There's always next week in FanDuel!
Week 6 is only missing New Orleans and Kansas City who are on bye weeks.
***Note: Picks are for 'Sunday/Monday Only' games
RB Branden Oliver ($6,200)- Obviously monitor the health of Donald Brown this week before going all-out with Oliver. However, Brown is not practicing due to a concussion and the Chargers signed Ronnie Brown, so early indications are that Brown will not suit up. That would make me all the more confident that Oliver is a steal at $6,200. The Chargers face the Oakland Raiders and their 31st ranked rush defense. Antonio Gates called him "Sproles with more power." That's exactly how he looked when he gashed the NFL's #1 rush defense for 182 yards from scrimmage and 2 touchdowns. Great value play.
WR Golden Tate ($6,400)- Tate is no stranger to this list. With Megatron likely to sit this week with an ankle injury, Tate becomes a must-start in Detroit. Assuming the #1 role after Calvin Johnson went down last week, Tate finished with 7 receptions on 9 targets for 134 yards and a touchdown. The Lions face their division rival Vikings in a game that could be a shoot-out with Teddy Bridgewater likely back under-center in Minnesota. The Lions could have a make-shift RB corps with Bush, Bell, and Riddick all ailing, which increases Tate's value.
TE Martellus Bennett ($5,900)- Price drop of $1,400 in just one week. Sure he had an off game against Carolina but my goodness, that's a significant drop for a guy of his size, ability, and situation. Bennett is 2nd among TEs in targets per game and redzone targets. The Bears play the Atlanta Falcons who have one of the worst pass defenses in the league. If you're debating between him, Larry Donnell ($6,000) and Delanie Walker ($6,000), I would go with Bennett.
QB Russell Wilson ($8,400)- Again, he's not a true bargain at $8,400 but he's only $100 more than he was a week ago and is still only the 7th most expensive QB (as he was last week). This is all after registering a monster game that would have been even more monstrous had 2 of Percy Harvin's touchdowns not been negated by penalties. Wilson gets another overrated defense in Dallas this week. The game is in Seattle so there's all the more reason to expect Wilson to post Top 3 QB numbers once again.
RB Bishop Sankey ($5,400)- Getting a bit cute here, but I have a feeling this is going to be Sankey's breakout week. Two weeks ago, Coach Ken Whisenhunt said he wants to get Sankey more touches because of his solid play. Last week the Titans were in a peculiar situation with the passing game clicking on all cylinders in the first half and Jake Locker moving the chains with his legs. This week the Titans get the Jaguars who have given up the 2nd most total yards to RB's in the league. Sankey has the talent and he's averaging a solid 4.7 yards per carry already. I'm going to roll with him in a few leagues to save money for elite WR's.
WR Antonio Brown ($8,900)- He's the most consistent WR in the league right now. Brown gets the Cleveland Browns for the second time this year. He went off on them in Week 1 for 20.1 FPS. The Browns are the 28th ranked pass defense and are giving up the 2nd most yards per catch to WR's in the NFL. Oh, and it looks like top CB Joe Haden may be forced to sit with a hip injury. Brown is in the price tag company of Dez Bryant, Julio Jones, and Demaryius Thomas. I think he outshines all 3.
RB Matt Forte ($9,000)- Vegas has the Chicago-Atlanta match-up as the highest over/under of the week (54pts). Start all your Falcons and Bears in your standard leagues but the guy I'm targeting in FanDuel is Forte. The Falcons have given up the most rushing yards to running backs (668), the most rushing touchdowns (9) to running backs, and the 4th most receiving yards to running backs (298). He has posted back to back monster games and is already getting veteran rest during the week to make sure he's healthy on Sunday. Forte will eclipse 140 total yards and a touchdown.
QB Peyton Manning ($10,200)- I usually tend to avoid QB's over the 10K mark but Peyton makes a lot of sense this week. With low priced RB's like Andre Williams, Branden Oliver, Ronnie Hillman, and Bishop Sankey having great match-ups and Jimmy Graham on a bye week (opening up value TE plays), you're likely to have some extra cash to spare. Odds are that your H2H opponent will not roll with his high price tag, so you'll dominate the opponents' QB. Opposing QB's have a 107.52 QB rating against the Jets (3rd worst in the league). Peyton is going to carve up a Jets secondary that has given up a league high 13 TD's. Peyton will be Peyton.
WR Terrance Williams ($6,900)- His price tag is rising by the week, and deservedly so. Williams has averaged 19 FPS in the last two games. However, this week he will likely see a lot of Richard Sherman and the LOB in Seattle. If the Cowboys are smart they will use Williams as the decoy on Sherman's side and have Dez Bryant win the battle against the other side. I recommend saving $500 and going with Golden Tate ($6,400) but Victor Cruz at $6,800 would be a strong play as well.
QB Aaron Rodgers ($9,600)- Price tag is too high for his match-up. The Dolphins are coming off a bye week and play at home. That defense is much better than their already Top 10 pass defense statistics indicate. The Packers finally got Eddy Lacy going and will likely want to build on that momentum by force-feeding him. It's hard to bet against Rodgers but there are a ton of other options that are much more comforting: Peyton at the Jets ($10,200), Rivers at Oakland ($9,100), and Matt Ryan vs. Chicago ($8,700).