Last week was a feast. Tournament winners scored upwards of 200 points. I'll pat myself on the back for posting 160+ in my H2H matchups riding Jamaal Charles, Mark Ingram, Antonio Brown, and TY Hilton. This week we are without the Falcons, Bills, Bears, Lions, Packers, and Titans who are all on their bye week. Also, the Saints and Panthers square off tonight, so the Sunday slate will be without them as well. Missing so many teams makes the margin for error shrink so I'd suggest playing it cool these next two weeks before putting more chips in the pot in Week 11.
***Note- Picks are made for 'Sunday/Monday Only' games
RB Jeremy Hill ($5,200)- Watch the health of Gio Bernard. If he is not in the lineup than Hill is a must buy against the Jaguars. Even if Bernard is in, I like Hill to spell him more than he has in the weeks past. The Jags are in the bottom fourth of the league in rush defense and they would be worse if teams didn't find it so easy to pass on their 30th ranked pass defense. Hill is good for double-digit points no matter the case with Gio.
QB Colin Kaepernick ($7,800)- Not really bargain level but Kaep is the 11th most expensive QB and could easily find himself among the Top 5 Sunday/Monday performers. The 49ers are coming off a bye at home to play a Rams team that they have dominated through the air in recent history. I'd pair him with Anquan Boldin this week.
WR Andrew Hawkins ($6,400)- The Browns get the gift that keeps on giving in the Tampa Bay Bucs. No team has given up more touchdowns to wide receivers than the Bucs. The Browns get them at home in a game they will most likely play without TE Jordan Cameron (concussion). The already top 20 targeted receiver could see a couple extra without Cameron in the lineup.
TE Larry Donnell ($5,400)- This play is going to win you some money. Donnell blew up the last time he was under the bright lights against the Redskins. It took a few weeks to get him going after Victor Cruz went down but he logged 7 receptions for 90 yards against the Cowboys two weeks ago. The Giants are coming off a bye and facing a favorable matchup against Indy. Just ask Heath Miller how easy it was to dominate that defense. He's the same price as another popular sleeper, Travis Kelce, but I would roll with Eli in this primetime match-up over a bruised up Alex Smith.
RB Ahmad Bradshaw ($7,500)- He's a borderline splurge because he's only the 9th most expensive back. He's going to play his former team on Monday Night. Bradshaw is the Indy back to own in a 0.5ppr setting. Indy will feed him the ball much more than they did last week after being down early against the Steelers. Expect Bradshaw to put up over 20 points in this homecoming matchup.
RB Marshawn Lynch ($8,200)- You know he's going to go into Beast Mode at some point. The Seahawks need a game they can be proud of and they need it quick. ***Enter Oakland*** The Raiders and their 26th ranked run defense visit Seattle. With Harvin out of the picture, look for the Seahawks to get Lynch the ball a ton more than they have in the past. 20+ points this week for Lynch is not beyond the realm of possibility.
WR TY Hilton ($8,100)- Seriously, roll with him weekly. I've had him as a mainstay in my H2H match-ups and he hasn't disappointed me in weeks. If anyone on that Colts offense is going to ball out under the bright lights of Monday Night Football I'd expect it to be Hilton. The Giants are far from an intimidating matchup in the pass game. Hilton will be a top 5 WR this week and you can see yourself rack up the points in the last game of the week. There's a novelty there that I enjoy.
QB Peyton Manning ($10,000)- It looks like it is going to be cold and rainy in New England this week. If that doesn't scare you off from Peyton then New England's #2 ranked pass defense should. It's hard to bet against Peyton but I wouldn't recommend risking 10K with this tough matchup. I'd rather spend an extra $100 and take Luck if you really want an elite QB.
WR Antonio Brown ($9,000)- This is the one match-up I wouldn't trust Brown in. At 9k Brown is the 2nd most expensive WR, and based on his production lately, the day will soon come where he's at the top of the list. However, with the Ravens coming to town I believe they will make it a top priority to stop him at all costs. The Ravens are a top 7 pass defense but have surrendered over 120 receptions to wide receivers this year. I'm think Brown continues his 5 reception streak but falls short of 100 yards and the endzone. I'm targeting Hilton and mid-level wide outs like Baldwin, Hawkins, and Boldin instead.