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The Redskins spread started out at +7 points, but as you can see in some places it's gone up to +7.5 and even +8.5. Despite the Redskins getting additional points, I don't like the Redskins as a good bet this week. While Washington showed plenty of offensive potential weeks 2 and 3, the Seahawks defense is a much different animal that they are facing this week. The Seahawks are stuffing the run and have been very good in pass defense as well.
Some point to the Seahawks allowing about 250 yards through the air and a completion percentage of over 68%, but that stat is a bit misleading. For one thing the Seahawks have one of the best rankings in yards per attempt and yards per catch, which is always a good sign. For another thing the Seahawks have faced Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers and Peyton Manning thus far this season, easily the toughest trio of QB's any team has faced. The chances that the Redskins find the same moderate success versus this defense is slim-to-none.
If the Seahawks defensive outlook isn't a good enough reason to stay away from the Redskins this week, the match-up of the Seattle offense versus the Redskins defense should do the trick. The past two weeks the Eagles and Giants have found some major holes in the Redskins secondary and you can bet the Seahawks will look to exploit them. Last week the Giants were near flawless against the Redskins and seemingly scored at will. Unless the Redskins can match that level of production it's tough to imagine they can keep it within 10 points in this game.
As for the 46 point, that is a bet I can get behind. While I don't expect this to be a close game for the Redskins, I also don't see Washington getting shutout in this game. The Redskins have given up 82 points over the last two weeks, and how have given up a four week average of 27 points. Chances are the Seahawks will exceed that 27 point mark and if they can get up to 30+ the Redskins only will need in the mid-teens to get to the over. It can definitely be a bit of a risk, but I think it's a moderately solid bet overall.
5 Prop Bets:
1. Which running back will have more rushing yards? Morris or Lynch?
2. What will happen more frequently: Tyler Polumbus sacks or Brandon Meriweather blown coverages?
3. What player on either side of the ball will score the first points in the game?
4. Who ends up with the most catches in the game: Pierre Garcon or Percy Harvin?
5. Which will there be more of Redskins scores (FG's or TD's) or Turnovers?