Believe it or not, your season-long leagues are entering the halfway mark of the regular season! From my experience, you need to get to 7 wins in a 13-week regular season to have a shot at the playoffs. So, if you're sitting at 1-5 it's time to get more involved with FanDuel. Last week the FanDuel Dimes post had its most successful week yet. Branden Oliver and Matt Forte were recommended pairings and they both exploded for monster games. No time for back pats, on to the next week.
We're now in the middle of October so it's about time to start keeping an eye on the weather forecast for Sunday's slate. The Eagles and Bucs are on their bye weeks and the Jets and Patriots play on Thursday Night Football.
***Note: Picks are for 'Sunday/Monday Only' games
RB Justin Forsett ($6,200)- Forsett is on a tear. Would you believe me if I told you he's the #5 RB in the league in rushing yards with 408? He's leading the league in yards per carry with 6.4, which is a yard more than the next guy. This week he gets one of the worst rush defenses in the league. Atlanta is in the bottom 5 of the league in rush yards given up per game. No team has given up more rushing yards and touchdowns to running backs, and they have given up the 2nd most receiving yards to running backs as well. Add in the possibility of gusting winds in the forecast in Baltimore this Sunday and Justin Forsett becomes a no-brainer bargain.
RB Alfred Morris ($7,200)- Morris is coming off two of the worst games of his career and he's yet to go over 100 yards on the ground this season. No better time than now to change all that with the Titans coming to Washington. The Redskins are desperate for a win and they can't trust Kirk Cousins to get it for them. Alfred Morris will be used early and often against the 24th ranked rush defense. Expect over 100 yards and a touchdown from Alf.
WR Marques Colston ($5,500)- Low risk, high reward. New Orleans is coming off a bye week, and that's always a good thing for a veteran receiver like Colston. The absence of TE Jimmy Graham will mean more targets for their big wideout. The 2-3 Saints are in need of a win against the Lions this week so expect Brees to rely on a guy he trusts. Colston is just too much bang for the buck to pass up this week.
TE Jordan Reed ($5,400)- This is the last week he'll be under $6,000. Jordan Reed was a big part of the team's plans this year, however, he missed the better part of the first 5 games this year. Now he's back! Kirk Cousins targeted backup tight end Niles Paul a ton in weeks 2 and 3. Last week he targeted Jordan Reed 11 times to lead the team. He finished with 8 receptions for 92 yards. The Redskins face the Titans who have given up the 10th most yards to tight ends this year. I like Larry Donnell ($5,500) but I'm feeling more confident in Reed's hot hand.
DEF Seattle ($5,300)- It's not so much a bargain as it is a lock. It took 7 weeks for a defense to make in on the Dimes list. Not only is Seattle the same price or cheaper than 5 other teams but they have, arguably, the easiest match-up of them all. The Seahawks are coming off a stunning loss at home vs. the Cowboys and get the gift of Austin Davis and the St. Louis Rams in St. Louis. The LOB is going to be in top form against their division rival. Arizona is the only other defensive match-up I love, but they're $200 more expensive and I still prefer Seattle.
QB Peyton Manning ($10,000)- Manning is making the list for the 2nd straight week. This is a gut feeling mixed with a safe bet. The Broncos are home and playing under the bright lights of Sunday Night Football on the national stage. What better time for Peyton to break Favre's touchdown record than now? Manning needs 2 to tie and 3 to pass him. The 49ers are not the defense they once were. If Patrick Willis is out again look for Julius Thomas to dominate in the middle of the field. Peyton will break the record this week, and the NFL schedulers will toast to their luck.
WR Antonio Brown ($8,700)- Another repeat from last week. Consistency meets boom-potential with Antonio Brown this week. That's what you're looking for out of your big money guys. There's something about having a guy or two playing on Monday Night that is exhilarating. You can see yourself climbing up the league or tournament board with every reception. Don't base your pick on that but you can trust Brown this week because the Steelers get the Texans and their bottom 5 pass defense in Pittsburgh this week. Brown is a gamer and Big Ben will target him to get the Steelers back on track after their embarrassing loss to Cleveland last week.
RB Marshawn Lynch ($8,800)- I think it's completely valid to save $1,300 on your QB and take Jay Cutler ($8,700) instead of Peyton Manning ($10,000). If you're doing that, spend that extra cash on Lynch. Marshawn basically had a bye week last week after getting only 10 carries and 1 reception against the Cowboys. The Seahawks face the Rams and their 26th ranked rush defense on a short week. Beast Mode may be in full effect this week as the Seahawks may be looking to send a message after their home loss last week. 150+ total yards and a touchdown for Lynch.
TE Greg Olsen ($7,200)- Olsen has been as consistent as they come this year. However, he's dealing with an ankle injury that's keeping him out of practice, he'll be the primary focus of a Packers defense who has yet to concede a touchdown to a tight end, and most likely won't have Kelvin Benjamin taking some of the attention away from him on the outside. If you're not putting Julius Thomas on your squad then save some cash and go with Larry Donnell ($5,500) or Jordan Reed ($5,400).
WR Julio Jones ($8,7000- The Falcons play in Baltimore this Sunday. As previously mentioned, the forecast is calling for 15+mph winds which is not conducive to an aerial attack. Julio is averaging over 11 targets per game but the Ravens defense is better than they are getting credit for. Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco face off for the 2nd time in their careers. Anyone remember Roddy White pushing off to haul in a 33-yard TD with 0:20 left in the game? Not sure if anyone on the team actually cares about that revenge but I could see this as a statement game for the Ravens. I'd avoid the high price tag on Julio and go with Antonio Brown (who is the same price) or spend $200 more on Jordy Nelson.