T-1. Hogs Haven with 6 wins, 5 losses and 2 pushes. Winless Skin Patrol will no doubt claim moral victory.
T-1. Post Game Heroes at 6-5-2. Thus they maintain what they will describe as a yawning chasm of a two game lead in the overall.
T-1. Curly R at 6-5-2. I'm trying to play it tight, keep it close and hope for a break at the end.
4. CommonPrejudice at 4-7-2. Brian got called away to Burma mid-picking.
The sample size is still small, though were you to try and make a legitimate business decision based solely on the four participating bloggers in this year's Blogger Deathsport, the only clear winner thus far is me. Once again, Curly R has the data:
- Curly R: 43-38-8 or 53% with one weekly win
- CommonPrejudice: 41-40-8 or 51% with one weekly win
4. Hogs Haven: 34-47-7 or 42% with no weekly wins
You look at the numbers and the obvious conclusion is, well shoot Skin Patrol, if I need a 53% clip to win money, and 55% is good, then the obvious best pick here is to stack my chips behind Post Game Heroes. Even Curly R is a winner at 53%, right?
There's something to be said for that. But remember that I'm 34-47, or otherwise picking at a below 42% level. That means had you simply chosen the exact opposite of whomever I picked week in and week out, you'd have won 47 of your picks against just 34 misses, going 58% on the season. I'm an anti-hero and your ticket to fiscal bliss and perpetuity. If I can hold the line on my inept at or around 42% -- and let me add that is totally consistent with my lifetime of failure at picking winners -- than I may be one of the most financially valuable human beings on the planet, on par with some of the greatest Vegas experts in the entire internets. Reader(s), tap into your savings and get made; here's who you shouldn't pick this week:
BAL (-3) @ BUF
Pick: No brainer. Baltimore.
NYJ @ CIN (-6)
MIN @ DAL (-9.5)
Pick: Minnesota. Nothing can stop Adrian Peterson. Nothing.
TB @ DET (-2.5)
Pick: Tampa Bay
NE (-16.5) @ MIA
Pick: Lock it down on New England.
ATL @ NO (-9)
Pick: New Orleans
SF @ NYG (-9.5)
KC @ OAK (-2.5)
Pick: I actually like Kansas City here (which is why you shouldn't)
CHI @ PHI (-5)
PIT (-3.5) @ DEN
Pick: Pitt by a landslide. This is a lock. Sorry guys, I might've just doomed your team. Hope for the Steelers to win close?
STL @ SEA (-9)
TEN (-1.5) @ HOU
Pick: Isn't Vince Young injured? Gotta take the Texans.
ARZ @ WAS (-8.5)
Pick: Pffft, Washington, easy.
IND (-3) @ JAX
Pick: Indy, why is this line so close?
You've tried the best, now try the rest!