Response to TexSkins
Tex- thanks for the update.
I think we need to go with Gregg Williams, although that mystery 3rd candidate makes me think they talked to Bill Cowher. Since we are a veteran team, I don't think we need to bring in anyone else... and we were a playoff team with a lot more potential (ie, when Campbell comes back healthy and after an offseason where we can recover from Taylor fully and get healthy on the offensive line). Our coaching job is much more marketable than any on the market (unless Dungy retires). That said, I think the best move is to hire Gregg Williams. He has credibility and hopefully a relationship with Al Saunders so that we can have full continuity minus Gibbs and a few others (will Bugel/Breaux leave?).
For the draft, I think we have to think about two things. #1 -- is Reed Doughty our starting strong safety? He's not bad, but he's not what Gregg Williams envisioned when we had Taylor and Landry. If we're trying to have that formidable of a backfield, we may have to look at Kenny Phillips of Miami in the first round. He may not be available at that point, but he also could be. If he is, it would be tough to turn him down, especially if Williams is HC.
But, maybe we should be taking a WR. If we keep Reche Caldwell (please do!) we will have Moss/ARE/Caldwell, which is a very good WR corps. However, if we grab a guy like Mario Manningham, we'd have a truly top-notch WR corps if Manningham pans out. He's a 6 foot guy who has definitely made some plays. There are other receivers worth looking at, and the first round should have plenty of WR prospects in it (Desean Jackson, Malcolm Kelly, Limas Sweed, Early Doucet, etc).
Or -- we could go a radically new direction and draft a legitimate pass rushing defensive end to go opposite Andre Carter. Andre had a fantastic year this year, but our D-line needs help. I really like Chris Wilson, who was totally unheralded. He is a great passrusher and has a lot of speed off the edge. But if we draft a legitimate passrushing threat, we could be a totally different defense. Carter will notch between 8-12 sacks a year for a while, with the potential to get a few more than that, but we need to be able to get pressure on our 4 and 5 man rushes... which we don't. We were beaten by quarterbacks who were able to have a lot of time in the pocket, especially early in the season. I think if we grab a passrushing DE (or get Glenn Dorsey through virtue of miracle) we would be a different team completely.
I think we'll probably think about grabbing all of these positions, plus another OL and maybe a LB in the draft this year. The question is, what is the priority? I think we could get away with drafting a good safety in the 2nd or 3rd round, and can definitely find an OL in the mid-rounds. I think we don't need to grab one high because we're set at every position except LG (Heyer and Jansen at RT will be a good battle -- but I honestly wouldn't be surprised if Jansen is gone this year.. more on that later), and Pete Kendall is serviceable for another year.
I think that we decide between WR and DE at 21 (why is #21 the only number that ever seems to attach itself to the Redskins this year?!?!). If we sign Caldwell, my guess is that we take a DE in the first, a WR in the 2nd, a S in the 3rd, an OL in the 5th and a LB in there somewhere. Could we get a compensatory pick for Sean Taylor? I don't know what's up with that.
One more issue -- cap space. As everyone has seen, we have some guys with atrocious cap figures this year. Without factoring in cap penalties:
Brandon Lloyd's 4 million will be goners, Clinton Portis will renegotiate (due 8.9 on the cap), Mark Brunell's 6 million dollar hit will be gone or drastically reduced, Thomas/Samuels (combine for about 16 mil) are gonna need to reduce, and Shawn Springs (7.5 million) is an issue. The other issue is Jon Jansen has an 8.8 mil cap hit this year, which is 2nd most on the team behind CP. Jansen has played 2 of the last 4 seasons and is now 31. I think he is the toughest call to make, because he was slipping a little bit before his last injury (I think) and now we have Stephon Heyer, who costs nothing, waiting in the wings. I think Jansen either severely renegotiates, retires, or is cut. As sad as that is to say, I think that is the inevitable reality.
What do you guys think of all this?
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5 comments
Comments
I think your right about the OL
As i always say, alot will depend on best available. Its hard to see them drafting a WR in the first round. He would have to be very special, but who knows.
Would love to see a Calais Campbell or Vernon Gholston drop to us but that may be a stretch. I think Heyer may be a good replacement but not sure about this upcoming year. Jansen is definetely capable another year or two.
Safety and Corner are another issue with ST gone and the Springs dilemma. Heres why I think we go defense again with the first pick. QB pressure was certainly lacking this year so DE is a need. Best player on the team at safety is not coming back and our best cornerback may not be here. Who knows when Rogers will be fully healthy? I hate to see a regression in defense.
So at 23 million over the cap and 6 or so draft picks it going to be interesting. Im not saying were in trouble, Im just saying.
by Sincethebeginning on Jan 14, 2008 3:05 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I'm generally weary of
I absolutely support drafting a pass rushing end. Count me among those who think a good pass rush will make the rest of the defense look good merely by being on the same field. Sacks are a reflection of qb pressure which increases turnovers. Short of turnovers a sack is the most devastating thing a defense can do to an opposing offense's drive; it instantly turns a manageable situation into an unmanageable one.
I'd take a DE. I'd also legitimately consider trading down (don't I every year?) to save money; 1st rounders cost substantially more to sign than any other round. I'm pretty sure two players drafted after the 1st round are cheaper than virtually any one in that entire round.
by Skin Patrol on Jan 14, 2008 5:40 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Vernon Gholston
And on the flipside, Desean Jackson is Troy Williamson Part II.
by BlackOps on Jan 14, 2008 6:44 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
21...
I agree on Gholston/a DE. I thought a DE was the pick last year (officially, I voted to trade down along with SP) to generate pressure and help the secondary.
I think the 1st round pick almost always follows the coaching philosophy. By that, I mean offensive coach = offensive player / defensive coach = defensive player. This isn't always the case, but it seems to be true when a new coach comes in, sort of like putting his stamp on things. I have no evidence to support that.
I saw a few draft boards / mock drafts today thta had Gholston around 20ish range. One had us picking the DE from the U. I forget his name and am too lazy to look for it right now. I had a post going about it before I lost it. I keep losing posts. Anyway, if I get bored sometime soon, I'll retrace my steps.
by TexSkins on Jan 14, 2008 10:16 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Calais Campbell...
by Romans12 on Jan 15, 2008 12:10 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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