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Free Agents and Big Markets

Part Three of the SB Nation Small Market Roundtable was hosted over at Stampede Blue (our Colts blogger) on the topic of free agents and markets and how those interact. Don't forget to check out Part One (Relocation) and Part Two (Stadiums) if you're interested.

Big Blue Shoe did a respectable job covering small markets and free agents and even went out of his way to mention the Redskins by name. As you could probably guess, we did not get complemented on our free agent strategy. For the most part I agree with BBS' post though felt compelled to respond to a few points (mostly just expanding on them) given that he's called us out. Large portions of his post will be left out here so keep in mind much of my criticism lacks context, which you can get by reading his entire post.

Naturally, with more possibilities in terms of quality of living, endorsements, and (with certain markets) climate, players are going to gravitate to large market free agent opportunities more so than small market opportunities if (and it is a big if) all things are equal.

Take the recent episode involving Willis McGahee. Willis was recently traded from the Buffalo Bills to the Baltimore Ravens. While in Buffalo, Willis actually complained that there wasn't much to do...

I think there is truth to this but I also would not want to overstate the emphasis here. The main motivator for players is financial and I would count Willis McGahee among the exceptions. Most people will learn to live comfortably wherever they end up especially with a lifestyle buoyed by somewhere between hundreds of thousands of dollars and millions of dollars per year. I would wager that the big vs. small market appeal has about a comparable effect on a player's decision as warm vs. cold weather. That is to say, it isn't something that thousands of dollars cannot fix.

A familiar example of location influencing a decision more than the benjamins is our own David Macklin, who turned down more lucrative offers from the Saints, Chiefs, and Eagles to join Your Washington Redskins thanks in no small part to the fact that he's a Virginia native. I doubt it had anything to do with the size of the television market here.

This past off-season, the major free agent signings that got all the headlines involved players going to big market clubs. Nate Clements, a mediocre CB in Buffalo, left the small market Bills to sign an 8 year, $80 million dollar contract with the San Francisco 49ers, making him the highest paid defensive player in the NFL. LBer Adalius Thomas left the big market Baltimore Ravens, but rather than sign with a club like Buffalo or Jacksonville, he signed with the New England Patriots, another big market team. The reason large market teams are able to offer Clements-like contracts to these players has more to do with local revenues than it does anything else. Markets like Dallas and Seattle are able to create and generate more local revenue, thus resulting in them building new, luxury stadiums (usually with the help of taxpayer money) that will in turn generate (drum roll please) more local revenue.
Selective memory at work here as BBS neglects to mention that a former big-market Derrick Dockery followed the cheese northwards to small-market Buffalo to the tune of 49M with an 18M signing bonus. Really what we have above is two examples of players joining big markets, and only one of them leaves a small market team (and in this case Buffalo had no trouble overpaying for Derrick Dockery).

Interesting factoid from above as well. Presumption here is that San Fransisco was enabled to pay Nate Clements large sums of moneys because of "local revenue". At least as of August of 2006 that certainly wasn't the case. Per Forbes, the Buffalo Bills franchise was worth more in total, generated more revenue, and had an operating income of nearly triple the San Fransisco 49ers. What enabled the latter team to take Nate Clements was a friendly cap number and the Bills' unwillingness to overpay for a guy they knew more about than anyone else. We'll see who was right after Clements plays a few years in San Fransisco.

The inherent problem with this is local revenue is not shared among the 32 NFL teams. League revenue, like broadcasting and ad revenue, shares about 80% of its revenues with the 32 NFL teams. That, coupled with a hard salary cap, makes it possible for a team in Indianapolis to win more games the last ten years than the teams in Chicago, Dallas, and San Francisco.
First, why is it a "problem" that revenues made locally (frequently through the marketing efforts of those franchises) are overwhelmingly kept by the teams that actually generate that income? I think Buffalo Bills' fans would consider it an "inherent problem" if local revenues were going towards the Washington Redskins. But why not the other way around?

Secondly, I think BBS is again overstating the problem. Revenue sharing is a future predicament, the presumption being total NFL revenues will increase more and more in the future, which will justify larger salaries for the players, since they will rightfully demand a larger slice of an increasing pie. The reason this might become a problem is that locally generated revenues in big markets are driving this increase in total revenue. Thus the salary cap might (eventually) outpace the budget of small market teams, like Buffalo and Indy. That is a future problem that will have to be addressed through revenue sharing, though that would also demand a good faith effort on small market teams to maximize their local revenues enough to justify a subsidy. More on that below.

This memo seemed to ease the concerns of owners like Ralph Wilson and Mike Brown, which should give fans of NFL small market teams hope. Unlike lost causes like Major League Baseball, the NFL has a pro-active culture that often puts forth good faith efforts to correct problems such as revenue sharing, player conduct, etc. The NFL is not stupid. They know the reason for their success is the perception created that any team can win any given Sunday. Such a statement cannot be said with a straight face in leagues like the MLB. NFL Owners like Jerry Jones and Daniel Snyder simply cannot buy their way to a Super Bowl. Such a philosophy was Jerry Jones' back in the early 1990s. Since the advent of the hard salary cap, Jones' Cowboys have yet to win a playoff game.
The generic stab at evil big market owners like Jerry Jones and Dan Snyder is expected in the context of the post. This is a common theme throughout the blogosphere and media that rich franchises are inherently wrong/evil/stupid/etc. I find it strange given how the long term viability of the NFL, expressed here by BBS as the necessity of a strict salary cap and its attendant parity, is totally dependent on Dan Snyder and Jerry Jones playing ball. Revenue sharing doesn't mean all franchises share revenue with all other franchises. It means rich franchises, like the Redskins and Cowboys share with poor franchises, like the Indy Colts. BBS acknowledged this earlier ("That, coupled with a hard salary cap, makes it possible for a team in Indianapolis to win more games the last ten years than the teams in Chicago, Dallas, and San Francisco"). The only incentive Dan Snyder has to share his locally made revenues with the rest of the league is the long term viability of the NFL depends on it. That may or may not be a compelling reason, though I doubt it for him personally. Your Washington Redskins are hundreds of millions of dollars more valuable than any other franchise. Our operating income is nearly twice that of any other team, thanks largely to the incredible marketing efforts of Snyder who should receive due business credit for generating huge revenue from a team that is very mediocre. Even in the event that the NFL went away from the salary cap, and overall interest in the NFL decreased, it's unlikely that Dan Snyder would lose a penny, nor would the Redskins. Personally I love the salary cap, and parity, but wonder if Dan Snyder has the incentive to maintain a system that clearly does not work in his favor, especially one that takes dollars out of his pocket and hands them to competitors.

I mentioned earlier about a good faith effort on the part of small markets to increase revenue outside of charity revenue sharing programs, because it doesn't make any sense for rich, well-run teams to subsidize poorly managed ones simply in virtue of their bad television markets. Small teams should be run efficiently if they want to claim other people's dollars. One reason why the Redskins generate more revenue than the Bills or Bengals is because we've sold the naming rights of our stadium to the tune of 7M dollars per year. Lest you think that's a small sum, 7M is around the difference in annual revenue between the big market New York Giants and the small market Bills. Or the about twice the difference in annual revenue between the small market Colts and the big market 49ers.

So why should Redskins' fans have to suffer a horribly corporate stadium name just so we can subsidize Paul Brown Stadium (named after Mike Brown's father) or Ralph Wilson Stadium (named after himself)? I know both these teams are not exploiting every means of generating revenue, yet their hands are out. Ralph Wilson and Mike Brown need to tell me directly why I need to fund their poorly managed franchises? I sympathize with any team that at least goes through the motions and pretends to generate as much revenue as possible, but you have to prove that subsidizing you is worth it, namely through your own efforts to maximize income. Naming your stadium after yourself is not what I'd consider a good-faith effort at aggressively pursuing profits.

This post is already longer than I had anticipated, so let me close with something said that may draw criticism or depressed nods of acknowledgment from Redskins' fans:

Drafting smart and sticking to your salary cap plan will often win you more games. This is why such a high premium is placed on the NFL Draft. A team has a better chance of winning drafting a Patrick Willis than it does signing an Adalius Thomas. The best example of this is the Washington Redskins. The Skins place little emphasis on the draft and a heavy emphasis on signing free agents. This explains why the Redskins have STUNK pretty much since the days of Mark Rypien and Earnest Byner.
I'll let reader(s) go after that in the comments section.

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Good points
One of the inherent challenges of writing this installement of the Small Market Series (aside from the fact I was sloppy seconds to Kirkendall, and had all of 24 hours to write the damn thing) is I had a hard time finding examples of large market teams snatching away free agents from small market teams. This kind of thing happens all the time in the MLB, which is why I call it a lost cause. In the NFL, it's not so much. Clements was one of the few examples, but I honestly don't think that was a case of a player getting more money from another team because that other team is such a large market.

As SkinsPatrol cites from Forbes, the Bills ain't poor, and I find the whining from Bills owner Ralph Wilson Jr. particulary annoying. NFL fans, make no mistake, there is no NFL team is losing money. As one of the articles in my initial post stated, the issue between owners is not keeping the club afloat or generating profit.

The issue is some owners want to generate MORE profit.

Sorry, but as a fan I have no sympathy for fat cat owners bitching about a profit percentage. This is not like the KC Royals. NFL teams and owners make a ton of money from both local and shared revenues. Shared revs are indeed important because they are necessary for some small market teams to compete. but really, when it is all said and done, when you see people like Wilson complaining about "small markets," it's laughable. When there was no salary cap, Buffalo was one of the best teams in the league. Their problems stem from bad management, not a small market.

I acutally think their recent roster turnover in Buffalo is a good thing. They are cutting away unneccesary fat, like McGahee and Clements. They are also shifting to a Cover 2 defense, which explains the Dockery signing and why they let Clements go (Clements can't tackle).

As for the Redskins, I think their track record speaks for itself. They place a low premium on the draft (how many picks they have this past draft?), and build their team through free agency. It's been a long time since the Redskins were a championship-caliber team, and much of it has to do with incompetent management decisions by Snyder. Joe Gibbs has righted the ship somewhat, but as long as Snyder owns the Skins this team will not get back to the Super Bowl. The man is just too fking stupid to own a team, and he meddles to much. If all he did was sign the checks, he'd be fine. I shudder to think of the Redskins when Gibbs retires.

Last point, the current market system puts heavy, heavy emphasis on managing your club properly, which I think is a good thing. If you do your fking job, chances are you will win more than you lose. If you draft well (which is what GMs are paid to do) and stick with your cap plan (which is what GMs are paid to do) you will win. This is why teams like Indy, NE, Philly, Seattle, and Pittsburgh have won a ton of games the last 10 years or so while teams like Washington, Buffalo, Dallas, and SF have been in the toilet.

As always, great points SP.

Colts site on SBNation: Stampede Blue

by BigBlueShoe on Jun 8, 2007 11:36 AM EDT   0 recs

Thanks for stopping by
I don't think your criticism of the 'Skins plan is off base, and I think many fans would agree. I'll let others decide, though.

We do not have a GM.

by Skin Patrol on Jun 8, 2007 11:47 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I'm not sure you fully understand MLB...
and it's profit-sharing system.  As I pointed out in a post a few weeks back, every team last season made a profit... except for the team that generated the most revenue by a wide margin, the New York Yankees.

MLB doesn't have the parity of the NFL because they don't have the small window of salary that the NFL has.  The gap between the minimum salary and the cap is much smaller in the NFL, which means teams have to make an honest effort in spending for talent.

I think you criticism of Snyder is off.  Yes, he meddles too much, but he's not too stupid.  He makes more money than anyone, even with a consistently bad team.  His francise is the most "valuable" (I'm not exactly sure what this means but Forbes seems to find it important) in the NFL.  The man knows what he's doing on the business side.

I'm sure if he could, he'd be the NFL's version of Steinbrenner and spend for all the big name players.  The front office actually used restraint in this offseason... though I'm not willing to say it was them finally coming around because they had only limited resources available.

It was a very good post and you're right on about a lot of things.

And as SP points out, the Skins need a GM.

by TexSkins on Jun 8, 2007 12:07 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re:
To call the Bills "poorly managed" isn't totally inaccurate, but it needs to be obviously past tense.  When Tom Donahoe was brought in to be our team's GM, the stadium where the Bills play let their naming rights run out - thus going from Rich Stadium ($2M per year for naming rights) to RWS.  I haven't heard anything about that changing to a corporate name (and I wish it would, too), but that is only a recent development.  Blame that one on Donahoe, who has possibly the worst reputation of any sports-related figure in Western New York.

From what I've read, Wilson isn't bitching about being poor, he's bitching about being poor in relation to the richer clubs in the league.  You have to understand, this is a man who was instrumental in the NFL-AFL merger with Lamar Hunt (who not ironically was the Godfather of revenue sharing - that's what made the AFL the most successful competition to the NFL ever).  He understands that in the long-term, at the rate this thing is going, there will be a disparity.  I feel that he's fighting to change that now, even if it makes him look like the bad guy.

Great post, SkinPatrol.  Your research is absolutely superb.

Buffalo Rumblings: the best Bills community on the Internet!

by Brian Galliford on Jun 8, 2007 9:07 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I feel very naughty
calling the Bills a poorly managed team given their incredible success over years despite the market. Ralph Wilson is an intelligent man who knows how to run a business as well as anyone in the league, as evidenced by his operating income that vastly exceeds teams near the Bills' annual revenue.

My concern with the naming rights of the stadium is a minor one, but still needs addressing by ownership. I don't want everyone to have to play in Viagra Stadium or what have you, but if teams are going to be subsidized the onus is on them to prove necessity, which is difficult when you put Fed Ex Field next to Paul Brown or Ralph Wilson stadiums.

Anyways, poorly manged doesn't fairly describe the Bills. They were one of the most successful teams throughout the 90s despite the small market, and Ralph Wilson deserves due business credit for that. I just want to make sure the Redskins are sacrificing revenue for the right reasons. Maintaining a fair league is a good reason -- ensuring that Bills fans get to watch games from Ralph Wilson Stadium is not.

I support revenue sharing.

by Skin Patrol on Jun 8, 2007 11:51 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

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