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Everyone wants to get paid, but who will?

Jason La Canfora examines Brandon Lloyd's contract in depth and it appears that he'll be a Redskin for some time. He also has this to add:

There will be the usual round of restructurings to create more cap space overall (the Class of 2004 all are scheduled to start getting massive base salaries starting in '07, which means some guys will have to re-do their deal to stay).
I thought that now is as fine a time as any to examine who those restructured contracts might belong to on our current roster. I'd love some reader input, so here are my predictions (without knowing the specifics of their salaries) based on my understanding of our cap situation brilliantly organized here.

Mark Brunell -- Mark Brunell has about 6 million in guaranteed signing bonus money but is set to make over 6.5 million next year alone. There's no way this front office will pay him 6.5 large just to ride the pine, so expect a contract renegotiation to take place (or else he's out of town). I don't think this team has any interest in paying a backup QB 25 million in salary over the next 4 years.

Cornelius Griffin -- Griff turned 30 this Sunday so to him I say happy birthday! Your present is that your salary septuples from 600,000 to 4.2 million per year. Your nearly 8 million guaranteed signing bonus remaining makes a strong bluff possible should our front office try and play hard ball with you, but hopefully we can meet halfway with Griffin who is getting older and injured; he's already missed two games this year. Couple that with some surprisingly good play from rookies Kedric Golston and -- to a lesser degree -- Anthony Montgomery, and I don't know if the Redskins can afford to pay Griffin 6.2 million next year.

David Patten -- I can't figure out why, but Patten's cap hit goes from 1.8 mil in 2006 to 3 million in 2007. His salary increases by less than 200,000 so I don't know how to account for that change. Still, I doubt Patten will remain a Redskin if he is the 2nd highest paid receiver on the team. Next year he'll cost us about as much Antwaan Randle-El and James Thrash combined.

Clinton Portis -- I'm just kidding. I do want to alert Redskins fans to the fact that CP's salary will go from around 600k a year to 3.5 mil next year (and 5 mil the year after that, and 6.5 mil the year after that, and 7.7 mil the year after that... and 8.7 mil the year after that). I doubt the front office will play hard ball with CP as he's the face of the franchise, though the production of Ladell Betts does give them more bargaining room. I don't know if that makes a difference. He's guaranteed 12.5 million if we cut him next year so... you do the math.

Casey Rabach -- his salary jumps nearly 2 million next year. With 4 million guaranteed he's still in a good position (as he'd cost the team less next year in cap space and his salary doesn't go up again until 2011); I don't predict him having to restructure but it is a possibility.

Chris Samuels -- I only mention him because he's our highest paid player. Next season he is set to cost the franchise 8.6 million, which is a huge sum of money. His "pro rated signing bonus" is listed at over 4.5 million which cannot possibly be right. If it were that would mean he has 22.5 million in guaranteed moneys coming his way, making him essentially uncuttable and immune to negotiations. If any readers can inform me why his pro rated signing bonus is so high, I'd appreciate it.

Shawn Springs -- I think he will definitely have to renegotiate. His salary goes from 750k to nearly 5 million next year, and he's got 7.5 million in guaranteed moneys coming his way should we cut him. This means we'll either pay him 7.5 million next year to stay, or take the 7.5 million cut next year but save ourselves 4 million in regular salary we'd owe him. Given the fact that he hasn't finished a full season since 2000, and is having a hard time staying on the field this year, I just don't see the Redskins making him the 2nd highest paid player on the team. His regular salary comes out to around 16 mil over the next three years, a huge cost for an injured player.

Marcus Washington -- Big pay raise in 2007 goes from 600k to 4 million. He has a good 2 mil a year signing bonus to protect him (worth 6 million total in dead space if we cut him), so he might be one of the players who gets a pay raise. He's also one of the best defenders we have.

Renaldo Wynn -- His salary doubles from 1 to 2 million in 2007. He's a backup DE set to cost us 4 million next year, yet he only has 1.5 million remaining in guaranteed moneys protecting his salary. I think he'll renegotiate and I do hope he stays. I like Renaldo Wynn.

Those are the players I think might be asked to negotiate their contracts, though I could be waaaay off or missing someone. I'd love to hear my reader(s)' opinions on any of the above.

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So if I do my math right...
these 9 players cost... close to $50 mil.  And next year's cap is about...$110 mil, right?

That's a lot of money and not a lot of production.

You should put guys like Hall and Collins up here.  On the chart that was linked to here a while back, they were set for big moeny due in '07.  And for an injured kicker and 3rd string QB, I'd like to save as much cap space as possible.

by TexSkins on Dec 8, 2006 5:44 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Okay, I just saw the link...
so... AA is at 2.4 mil next year... that's relatively cheap compared to some of the other contracts.  (All numbers will be total cap hit.)  Brunell, the backup QB at 6.6 mil (Campbell is at 1.6 mil.)

Everyone's favorite, Mr. Todd Collins, is set to cost the team 1.475 mil next year.  Is there any reason to even have a 3rd QB, much less such an expensive one?

Carter (2.2), Daniels (3.1), Fauria (1.1), Hall (1.95), Griff (6.16), Jansen (5.8), Patten (3),  Randy Thomas (5.4), Thrash (1.4), Wynn (4)... Surely some of these contarcts can be brought down a bit, or let go...  This is a lot of money paid to less than star players.  Compare that to, say, Golston who has actually played well this year.  Next year he costs the team $373k or about a tenth of Philips Daniels.

Some of the numbers on that list are unbelievable.

I said this before, but I'd really like to see this for other teams... like the Eagles and Patriots, who actually spend wisely and still compete every year.

by TexSkins on Dec 8, 2006 5:59 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

My thoughts
Here are my thoughts on that.

Adam Archuleta at 2.5 mil is unacceptable to pay a special teams player. It doesn't make any sense for us to pay his salary each year given that we receive no value for it. He will cost us a fortune in dead space to pay off his guaranteed moneys next year, but we'll have to pay that money eventually no matter what we do; it is better to pay that now then have to pay it and his salary later.

If there was a possibility that Archuleta would be playing later I would agree with this move, but that just isn't happening per this coaching staff. They've decided Vernon Fox is better and I don't see that changing.

Brunell will be asked to restructure or shown the door. He doesn't have enough money in signing bonuses to protect his salary which is a ludicrous amount for a backup QB.

Regarding Todd Collins, if the coaching staff is willing to pay him 1 mil then they're probably willing to pay him 1.4 mil. I agree that it is insane to have an expensive 3rd string QB but he's a Saunders guy. I think we should just draft some scrub QB in the 6th round or so and hope we hit gold, a la Tom Brady. Better to have a league minimum rookie backing up your backup then a one and a half million dollar vet. His signing bonus is paltry and does not protect him at all.

"Carter (2.2), Daniels (3.1), Fauria (1.1), Hall (1.95), Griff (6.16), Jansen (5.8), Patten (3),  Randy Thomas (5.4), Thrash (1.4), Wynn (4)... Surely some of these contarcts can be brought down a bit, or let go...  This is a lot of money paid to less than star players.  Compare that to, say, Golston who has actually played well this year.  Next year he costs the team $373k or about a tenth of Philips Daniels."

The longer a player has been in the league the larger their minimum salary is. If you want veterans on your roster you have to pay for them. Since the Redskins don't build substantial depth in the draft we are forced to pay expensive veterans (who have already earned semi-lucrative salaries) to do so. Hence the criticism of our strategy; Free Agency requires you to pay market price for players. The draft allows you to pick up players below the market price as the cost is decided not by how they play but by what position they are drafted. Hence why a Chris Cooley is so much cheaper than a Kellen Winslow Jr. yet still so much more productive over a 3 year span.

Of the guys you've mentioned here are my individual thoughts:

Carter's 2.2 million means he is safe. He is getting paid less than his backup next year which makes him a steal. 2.2 mil is not bad for a starting defensive lineman. All this is contingent on him earning and maintaining his starting position.

Daniels 3.1 is the same as Carter. That's decent and acceptable moneys to pay a starter on the line.

Fauria's 1.1 mil is a function of his veteran status. His 810,000 salary is a league minimum for a veteran of his status meaning we couldn't negotiate it lower even if he were willing to do so. So long as the team wants a veteran tight end they'll have to pay veteran level money.

John Hall will not restructure his contract. He will be cut. His 465,000 remaining guaranteed moneys does not protect his 1.5 mil salary at all.

Griff I would hope restructures but I think he has all the bargaining chips. He is a starter, his sizeable salary is still millions lower than it would cost us in dead space to cut him next year (8 million). I hope we can meet halfway here but I doubt it. He's might get paaaaaid.

Patten will be forced to renegotiate. His 1.5 in remaining guaranteed moneys will not protect his 3 mil cap hit in 2007.

Randy Thomas is quite possibly the best player on our team and his pay is only going up about 500,000. We will pay him and he knows it.

James Thrash has quite possibly the ideal contract that the Redskins should have been signing people to. We paid him more in unguaranteed salary than he probably deserved yet he took a much smaller signing bonus (125k a year) then would be warranted. Thus he knows that he can be cut on any given year and so he earns his position with scrappy play. The team holds the chips and forces production from the player. We could cut him except he doesn't really cost us much and somehow always makes big plays on 3rd down and is an excellent run blocker. We will not be cutting him but will likely not be paying him anymore either. He may renegotiate at around the league minimum or maybe not. I think he's earned around 1.3 (perhaps a little less) million per year. We should use his contract as a building block for future contracts; overpaying unguaranteed moneys for a low signing bonus is a great way to force production out of your players. That way you end up paying the guys who do well and you can cut the ones who don't justify their salaries. Instead we've been going heavy on signing bonuses because we tail end their contracts so much that players force us to protect those moneys with large bonuses. The player has all the control as they know we can't cut them without ruining the cap. Guaranteed moneys are due no matter what and they have less incentive to earn their contracts.

Wynn will restructure or be cut. His 1.5 remaining in guaranteed moneys will not protect a 4 million cap hit next year. Our backup DE will not make nearly twice our starter.

by Skin Patrol on Dec 8, 2006 11:00 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Griffin & Springs
I don't really see why these guys would renegotiate to stay with the Skins. If those guys were cut they'd get at least what they're making now if not a raise on the open market.

Especially Springs, considering how the CB market has blown up lately.

Bleeding Green Nation Philadelphia Eagles Blog

by JasonB on Dec 8, 2006 11:51 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

You are right about Griffin
Probably wrong about Springs. He is unable to stay healthy and no one is going to pay him 7.5 million a year if there's a concern he won't play more than 8 games a year. It would cost the Redskins about the same to cut him as it would to keep him here next year, and the cutting has the advantage of saving us money on unguaranteed salary payments.

by Skin Patrol on Dec 8, 2006 11:58 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

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