By this time, most fans have gotten intimately familiar with Jay Gruden and the type of offense he runs. Numerous articles on Hogs Haven have been written profiling the first-year head coaches tendencies, and just how those tendencies may translate to our Redskins.
One thing I think we can all agree on, is that Gruden likes to throw the football out of multiple sets that are designed to take advantage of mismatches all over the football field. He will use three and four wide sets, employee multiple tight end sets, incorporate many motions across the formation to test the look of the defense, and loves to get his running backs involved in the passing game.
In Gruden's three seasons as offensive coordinator of the Cincinnati Bengals, he averaged 554 passing attempts per season, and this was with his young quarterback Andy Dalton. Unlike the Redskins last season, Gruden's teams passed because they wanted to, not because they had to. His teams were good in each of his three season as coordinator, putting up winning records each year. The Bengals went 9-7 in 2011, 10-6 in 2012, and 11-5 in 2013, and were not a team that let defenses dictate what their offense could do.
How this new offense will translate to the Redskins is somewhat of a mystery, but I think it's safe to assume we will be a true game-plan offense, that is not a run first team regardless of the defensive front, like Mike Shanahan and company employed.
Based on the Bengals offense dating back to 2011, there were at least three players every season that caught at least 50 passes. In 2013, there were three players who caught over 50 passes, and another two with 47 and 46 receptions respectively.
So how will the Redskins offense be able to adapt their personnel to fit Gruden's style?
Below is a look at how passing targets may be spread around. I project we see between 500-550 passing attempts in 2014, and that should translate to around 350 receptions for our offensive targets.
Pierre Garcon - 90+ receptions
Jordan Reed - 55-60 receptions
Andre Roberts - 50-55 receptions
Rookie Draft Pick - 45-55 receptions
Logan Paulsen - 20 receptions
Roy Helu - 20 receptions
Aldrick Robinson - 20 receptions
Alfred Morris - 15-20 receptions
Other - 15-20 receptions