Hogs Haven 2013 Season Predictions Revisited

Jeff Gross

A look back at the Hogs Haven writers’ 2013 season predictions.

Last September, nine Hogs Haven writers shared their preseason predictions for the upcoming NFL season.  Each writer made 28 predictions, which included prognostications on everything from the Super Bowl to the Comeback Player of the Year.  This is not uncommon for major sports websites, as ESPN, CBS, Sports Illustrated and many others participate in this same practice annually before the start of each NFL season.  However, unlike just about everyone else, we are going to actually revisit our predictions and take a look back to see how each writer fared in general and against each other.  So as promised in September, here are our picks alongside of the actual results.


Mark Bullock Dan Ciarrocchi Keely Diven James Dorsett Kevin Ewoldt Actual
NFC East Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins Eagles
NFC North Packers Packers Packers Bears Packers Packers
NFC South Falcons Saints Falcons Falcons Falcons Panthers
NFC West 49ers Seahawks 49ers Seahawks 49ers Seahawks
NFC Wild Cards Seahawks, Bears 49ers, Falcons Giants, Seahawks 49ers, Packers Seahawks, Rams 49ers, Saints
AFC East Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots Dolphins Patriots
AFC North Bengals Bengals Ravens Bengals Ravens Bengals
AFC South Texans Texans Texans Colts Texans Colts
AFC West Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos
AFC Wild Cards Ravens, Colts Steelers, Ravens Colts, Steelers Ravens, Chiefs Colts, Bengals Chiefs, Chargers
NFC Champion Redskins Falcons Redskins Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
AFC Champion Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos
Super Bowl Redskins Falcons Redskins Seahawks Seahawks Seahawks
1st Pick in 2014 Jets Raiders Raiders Raiders Cardinals Texans
Comeback POY Brian Orakpo Maurice Jones-Drew Brandon Marshall Robert Griffin III Brian Orakpo Philip Rivers
Coach of Year Marvin Lewis John Harbaugh Jim Harbaugh Marc Trestman Chuck Pagano Ron Rivera
Offensive ROY Tavon Austin Kenbrell Thompkins Eddie Lacy Eddie Lacy Tavon Austin Eddie Lacy
Defensive ROY Kenny Vacaro Arthur Brown Tyrann Mathieu Ziggy Ansah Alec Ogletree Sheldon Richardson
Offensive POY Jamaal Charles Adrian Peterson Adrian Peterson Drew Brees Peyton Manning Peyton Manning
Defensive POY Luke Kuechly J.J. Watt Luke Kuechly Geno Atkins Patrick WIllis Luke Kuechly
MVP Robert Griffin III Tom Brady Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning
Redskins Off. POY Alfred Morris Robert Griffin III Alfred Morris Pierre Garcon Pierre Garcon Pierre Garcon
Redskins Def. POY Brian Orakpo Ryan Kerrigan Brian Orakpo Ryan Kerrigan Brian Orakpo Brian Orakpo
Redskins MVP Robert Griffin III Robert Griffin III Robert Griffin III Robert Griffin III Pierre Garcon N/A
Redskins Record 12-4 11-5 10-6 12-4 11-5 3-13
Playoff Finish Super Bowl Win Divisional Round Loss Super Bowl Win NFC Champ. Loss NFC Champ. Loss Missed Playoffs


Mike Harar Ken Meringolo Sean Patterson Steve Shoup Actual
NFC East Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins Eagles
NFC North Packers Packers Vikings Packers Packers
NFC South Falcons Falcons Falcons Falcons Saints
NFC West Seahawks Seahawks 49ers 49ers Seahawks
NFC Wild Cards 49ers, Giants Lions, 49ers Seahawks, Buccaneers Seahawks, Saints 49ers, Saints
AFC East Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots Patriots
AFC North Steelers Bengals Bengals Bengals Bengals
AFC South Colts Colts Texans Colts Colts
AFC West Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos Broncos
AFC Wild Cards Bengals, Texans Dolphins, Texans Chiefs, Colts Texans, Ravens Chiefs, Chargers
NFC Champion Redskins Redskins Redskins 49ers Seahawks
AFC Champion Broncos Bengals Bengals Broncos Broncos
Super Bowl Broncos Redskins Redskins 49ers Seahawks
1st Pick in 2014 Jets Raiders Chargers Raiders Texans
Comeback POY Robert Griffin III Darrius Heyward-Bey Robert Griffin III Maurice Jones-Drew Philip Rivers
Coach of Year Mike Tomlin Joe Philbin Marvin Lewis Chuck Pagano Ron Rivera
Offensive ROY Tavon Austin Eddie Lacy Tavon Austin Montee Ball Eddie Lacy
Defensive ROY Tyrann Mathieu Matt Elam Barkevious Mingo Jarvis Jones Sheldon Richardson
Offensive POY Peyton Manning Aaron Rodgers Calvin Johnson Adrian Peterson Peyton Manning
Defensive POY J.J. Watt Luke Kuechly Luke Kuechly Luke Kuechly Luke Kuechly
MVP Andrew Luck Colin Kaepernick Peyton Manning Peyton Manning Peyton Manning
Redskins Off. POY Robert Griffin III Robert Griffin III Pierre Garcon Alfred Morris Pierre Garcon
Redskins Def. POY Ryan Kerrigan Barry Cofield Brian Orakpo Brian Orakpo Brian Orakpo
Redskins MVP Robert Griffin III Alfred Morris Robert Griffin III Robert Griffin III N/A
Redskins Record 11-5 11-5 11-5 10-6 3-13
Playoff Finish Super Bowl Loss Super Bowl Win Super Bowl Win Wild Card Round Loss Missed Playoffs

Before I tally up the scores for each writer, I want to take a minute to touch on a few of the Redskins related predictions that were made.  The writers picked both an offensive and defensive player of the year for the team.  Unfortunately, the Redskins don't officially announce their player of the year selections until August.  So for the purposes of this article I decided to go ahead and take the liberty of doing it myself.

For offensive player of the year I went with Pierre Garcon.  He led the team in receptions, receiving yards, YAC, yards from scrimmage and first downs.  He also led the NFL with a franchise record 113 receptions on the season.  Garcon was the first Redskin to do so since Art Monk in 1984.  Trent Williams is certainly in the conversation here as well; but these awards almost always go to skill position players, and I think Garcon's accomplishments really set him apart.  On the defensive side of the ball, Brian Orakpo was the clear choice for me.  In 15 games, he led the team in Sacks and QB hits and was 2nd in stops and hurries.  I decided to eliminate the Redskins MVP category for a few reasons: we went 3-13, I found out that the Redskins themselves don't name a team MVP and because in my mind it would be too close to call between Orakpo, Garcon and Williams.  I think these choices are pretty well-reasoned, but if you disagree then let me know what you think in the comments section.

Our predictions regarding the Redskins' final record and playoff finish were just plain bad.  I can't help but be a little bit embarrassed, but I do take some comfort in knowing that we weren't the only ones that were drunk on the hometown Kool-Aid.  It was tough not to be after witnessing Robert Griffin III lead us to an improbable run to the playoffs in his historic rookie season.  It was even harder to fathom a team with such lofty expectations experiencing one of the worst seasons in franchise history.  But in true Murphy's Law Redskins fashion, anything that could've gone wrong, did in fact go wrong.  So now that that's out of the way, let's try our best to forget that the 2013 season ever happened, and see how the writers' predictions stacked up against each other.

Hogs Haven Staff 2013 NFL Predictions Final Results & Standings
Rank Name Total # Correct Playoff Super Bowl NFL Awards Redskins
1 James Dorsett 13 7 3 2 1
2 Steve Shoup 10 6 1 2 1
3 Kevin Ewoldt 9 2 3 2 2
3 Ken Meringolo 9 7 0 2 0
5 Keely Diven
8 3 1 3 1
5 Sean Patterson 8 4 0 2 2
5 Mike Harar 8 6 1 1 0
8 Mark Bullock 7 4 1 1 1
8 Dan Ciarrocchi 7 6 1 0 0

Maybe this will help take some of the sting out of the Redskins season for me (yeah, I can't shake the memory).  I'll try to explain how I won without sounding like a total gloating douche.  I was only slightly above average when it came to predicting the Redskins and NFL Awards.  I really won on the strength of my playoff and Super Bowl picks.  I picked the winner of every regular season game for about 15 teams (which were the only teams that I thought were worth a damn), and made my final predictions based off of that.  I went with the Broncos in the AFC, because well, Peyton Manning.  I always believed that the NFC and the eventual Super Bowl Champion was going to be decided by what happened in the inevitable playoff meeting between the Seahawks and 49ers. I had Seattle at 13 wins and San Francisco at 12, thus giving Seattle the home field advantage and making my decision much easier.  I'll wrap this thing up with a few observations on the rest of the writers' picks.

  • There were 8 categories that nobody correctly predicted: NFC East, NFC South, 1st Pick in the draft, Comeback POY, Coach of the Year, Defensive ROY, Redskins Record and Redskins Playoff Finish.
  • The most popular incorrect predictions were: the Falcons winning the NFC South, the Redskins winning the NFC East and the Raiders owning the 1st pick in the 2014 draft.
  • Every writer had either the Ravens or the Texans making the playoffs.
  • The most popular correct predictions were: the Patriots, Packers, Bengals and Broncos each winning their respective divisions.
  • Dan had the most unique picks of all of the writers, so when his home run swing didn't connect the end result was not a surprise.
  • Props to Steve for making the most conservative Redskins predictions. He had the Redskins finishing far short of what the other writers did. Also, unlike most of the rest of us, he had the good sense to not pick a Redskin to win any major NFL award.
  • Ken and I had the most Playoff picks correct with 7. Kevin and I had the most Super Bowl picks correct with 3. Keely had the most NFL Awards correct with 3. Kevin and Sean had the most Redskins picks correct with 2.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Hogs Haven

You must be a member of Hogs Haven to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Hogs Haven. You should read them.

Join Hogs Haven

You must be a member of Hogs Haven to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Hogs Haven. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker