Super Bowl 2013: Handicapping the 49ers vs Ravens Game

USA TODAY Sports

A detailed look into the statistics for the 49ers and Ravens leading into the Super Bowl matchup.

Before I get into all the wild prop bets, I thought I'd share my research on the 49ers vs Ravens matchup this Sunday. When the line was announced 49ers as favorites by 3.5 points, 60% of the Vegas betting went the Ravens way. That's not too surprising given the emotions of Ray Lewis and the fact the purple birds just knocked off Peyton Manning and Tom Brady on the road.

Line: 49ers -3.5, Over/under: 47

With each Super Bowl bet I make, I usually go with the better defense. That made picking the Giants last year a no-brainer for me. This year is much different as both teams have solid defenses.

Personally, I think the 49ers will win this game and Frank Gore will be the Super Bowl MVP. The entire 49ers offensive line made the Pro Bowl in some sort of fashion and Frank Gore has been unstoppable. In addition, the fact the 49ers have played four dome games this year while the Ravens have played none makes a difference with noise. While I think the Ravens will keep this close in the first half, I think we see the youth and dominance of the 49ers team take over in the second half much like the Falcons game. I'll surely inquire about buying that half point.

Below are some interesting numbers for everyone to chew on and form their own opinion. Enjoy.

Item

49ers

Ravens

Advantage

Super Bowl Coaching Experience

Jim Harbaugh
None.

John Harbaugh
ST Coordinator for Eagles vs Pats

Baltimore_ravens_medium
(Has a blueprint to keep team from getting distracted)

Team Hotel Location

Marriott Canal Street

Hilton Riverside Hotel

Baltimore_ravens_medium
49ers hotel is walking distance to Bourbon Street.

Avoiding the media pitfalls

Kaepernick cool as a cucumber.

Flacco uses "retarded" in a comparison as his answer and already has media buzzing about it.

49ersb_logo_medium
Media thrives on making mountains of mole hills.

Most hungry superstar

Frank Gore
"I was so hurt, knowing we were the better team,'' Gore said yesterday, referring to the NFCC loss to Giants last year. [NY Post]

Ray Lewis
"We are not going to New Orleans for nothing else but to bring back another ring back to Baltimore." [NY Post]

Baltimore_ravens_medium

The whole team is playing for Ray in his final game.

Video Game Simulation

49ers
Tecmo Bowl

Ravens
Madden

Push
(Story and video result from Yahoo! Sports)

PredictionMachine.com based on 50,000 simulations of Super Bowl XLVII

49ers
66.9% win

Ravens
33.1% win

49ersb_logo_medium
(Last year it had the Giants winning by 3 points most of the time despite NYG being a 3-point underdog)

Harbaugh Head to Head

0-1

1-0

Baltimore_ravens_medium
Beat 49ers at home 16-6 on Thanksgiving in 2011.

Turnover Ratio

+9 (reg season)
+2 (playoffs)

+9 (reg season)
+5 (playoffs)

Baltimore_ravens_medium
All 3 of Ravens turnovers have been fumbles.

Offense

361.8 yards

352.5 yards

49ersb_logo_medium

Defense

294.4 yards

350.9 yards

49ersb_logo_medium

Kicking

Akers 29/42

Tucker 30/33

Baltimore_ravens_medium

Post-season completion %

Kapernick (63.5%)

Flacco (54.8%)

49ersb_logo_medium
Kaepernick also averages more yards per gain (9.54 to Flacco's 9.17)

Post-season QB rating

Kaepernick 105.9

Flacco 114.7

Baltimore_ravens_medium

Post-season points per game

36.5

30

49ersb_logo_medium

Post-season points per game allowed

27.5

19

Baltimore_ravens_medium

Betting Trends:

Item

49ers

Ravens

Advantage

Against the spread in playoff games:

2-0

3-0

Push

Against the spread vs teams with winning record:

6-3

4-4

49ersb_logo_medium

Against the spread in non-conference games

4-0

2-2

49ersb_logo_medium

Against the spread as a favorite

9-6

4-4 (as underdog)

49ersb_logo_medium

Against the spread in all games

11-7

9-9

49ersb_logo_medium

Record in a dome this year

2-2

0-0

49ersb_logo_medium

(Ravens got blown out @ Texans, which has retractable roof)

SB Nation Featured Video
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Hogs Haven

You must be a member of Hogs Haven to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Hogs Haven. You should read them.

Join Hogs Haven

You must be a member of Hogs Haven to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Hogs Haven. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker