Handicapping the 2012 Super Bowl Prop Bets

Ah yes! For me, there's no better time for gambling than the Super Bowl. The mecca of ridiculous bets. This week I'll take an early look, but next Friday I'll post my actual picks, which is when they start mixing in the NBA and golf tournaments, for example: What will there be more of: Andray Blatche missed layups vs Clippers or Ahmad Bradshaw fumbles?

The Giants are getting 2.5 points, so let's get that bet out of the way that I'm taking the Giants. Their defense is stout and Gronkowski is nursing an ankle injury. He'll of course play, but I still bet on defense. Here's some early bets I'm thinking:

  • Over/under 55. I really like the under here. The Patriots defense this post season has 8 sacks, and the Giants front line will surely be causing some problems for Brady.
  • MVP...I like Hakeem Nicks at 14-1.
  • How many times will Peyton Manning be shown on TV during the game? 3.5. I like the UNDER in this. He's never really shown in games. If it was Archie, I'd take the over at 50.
  • Will Madonna be wearing fishnet stockings at any point during the Super Bowl Halftime show? (I like YES. She'll have at least 3 outfit changes.)

The current props list via Bovada is after the jump. More to come next week. We'll be having a contest on who can get the most props correct, and we have a bunch of prizes to giveaway. Look for that post next Thursday.

PLAYER PROPS

Odds to win MVP

Tom Brady 13/10
Eli Manning 9/4
Rob Gronkowski 8/1
Victor Cruz 12/1
Hakeem Nicks 14/1
Aaron Hernandez 15/1
Wes Welker 15/1
Ahmad Bradshaw 22/1
BenJarvus Green-Ellis 22/1
Jason Pierre-Paul 30/1
Brandon Jacobs 35/1
Deion Branch 35/1
Mario Manningham 35/1
Antrel Rolle 75/1
Justin Tuck 75/1
Chad Ochocinco 100/1
Danny Woodhead 100/1
Devin McCourty 100/1
Jake Ballard 100/1
Jerod Mayo 100/1
Kyle Arrington 100/1
Lawrence Tynes 100/1
Osi Umenyiora 100/1
Stephen Gostkowski 100/1
Vince Wilfork 100/1
Field 18/1

Player to score the first TD in the game?

Rob Gronkowski (NE) TE 11/2

Aaron Hernandez (NE) TE 15/2

Victor Cruz (NYG) WR 15/2

BenJarvus Green-Ellis (NE) RB 15/2

Wes Welker (NE) WR 15/2

Hakeem Nicks (NYG) WR 17/2

Ahmad Bradshaw (NYG) RB 17/2

Brandon Jacobs (NYG) RB 12/1

Deion Branch (NE) WR 14/1

Mario Manningham (NYG) WR 14/1

Danny Woodhead (NE) RB 20/1

Jake Ballard (NYG) TE 20/1

Chad Ochocinco (NE) WR 25/1

Stevan Ridley (NE) RB 25/1

Tom Brady (NE) QB 25/1

Travis Beckum (NYG) TE 35/1

Julian Edelman (NE) WR 35/1

Eli Manning (NYG) QB 35/1

Bear Pascoe (NYG) TE 40/1

D.J. Ware (NYG) RB 50/1

Field 15/2

No TD scored in the game 150/1

Entertainment Odds and Ends

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How long will it take Kelly Clarkson to sing the National Anthem?

Over/Under 1 minute 34 Seconds

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - What will Kelly Clarkson wear to sing the National Anthem?

Super Bowl XLVI or official NFL shirt 2/1

Patriots Jersey or shirt 12/1

Colts Jersey or shirt 12/1

Giants Jersey or shirt 15/1

Anything else 1/3

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - Will Kelly Clarkson forget or omit at least 1 word of the official US National Anthem?

Yes (only) 5/2

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - Will Kelly Clarkson's bare belly be showing when she sings the National Anthem?

Yes (only) 3/1

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - What color will Madonna's hair be when she begins the Super Bowl Halftime show?

Blonde -400

Any other color +250

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - Will Madonna be wearing fishnet stockings at any point during the Super Bowl Halftime show?

Yes -110

No -110

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - Will Madonna wear an NFL Jersey or shirt at any point during the Super Bowl Halftime show?

Yes +250

No -400

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - Will Madonna wear a hat at any point during the Super Bowl Halftime show?

Yes +150

No -200

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - What will Madonna be using to start the Super Bowl Halftime show?

Headset -200

Handheld Microphone +150

TV Odds and Ends

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How many times will Peyton Manning be shown on TV during the game?

Over/Under 3½

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How many times will Giselle Bundchen be shown on TV during the game?

Over ½ (-150)

Under ½ (+110)

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - If Tom Brady's son is shown on TV during the game will he be wearing a Tom Brady Jersey?

Yes -200

No +150

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How many times will Jim Irsay be mentioned on TV during the game?

Over/Under 1

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How many times will David Tyree's 2008 Super Bowl catch be shown be shown on TV during the game?

Over/Under 1

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How many times will Andrew Luck be mentioned on TV during the game?

Over/Under 1

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How many times will Robert Kraft be shown on TV during the game?

Over/Under 3½

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How many times will Mitt Romney be shown on TV during the game?

Over/Under 1

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - Who will Barack Obama pick to win the game?

New England Patriots -110

New York Giants -110

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - What Color will the Gatorade be that is dumped on the Head Coach of the Winning Super Bowl Team?

Yellow 7/4

Orange 9/4

Clear/Water 3/1

Red 11/2

Green 6/1

Blue 10/1

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - Who will the Super Bowl MVP of the Game thank first?

Teammates 2/1

God 7/2

Owner 7/2

Family 7/1

Coach 12/1

Does Not Thank Anyone 11/4

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - What will the TV Rating be for the Super Bowl?

Over/Under Nielsen Rating 47½

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How many average viewers will the game have?

Over/Under 115 Million Viewers

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - Which region will have the higher local TV Rating?

Boston -7

New York +7

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - How many viewers will stream the Super Bowl online?

Over/Under 1.5 million

Miscellaneous Odds and Ends

SUPER BOWL XLVI SPECIALS - What will happen with the Dow Jones the day after the Super Bowl?

Market Up -140

Market Down EVEN

FUTURE SPECIALS - Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl XLVI and the Boston Celtics win the 2012 NBA Championship?

Yes 40/1

FUTURE SPECIALS - Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl XLVI and the Boston Red sox win the 2012 World Series?

Yes 18/1

FUTURE SPECIALS - Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl XLVI and the Boston Bruins win the 2012 Stanley Cup?

Yes 9/1

FUTURE SPECIALS - Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl XLVI and Mitt Romney be the Republican Candidate for the 2012 election?

Yes 3/2

FUTURE SPECIALS - Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl XLVI and Mitt Romney win the 2012 Presidential Election?

Yes 4/1

FUTURE SPECIALS - Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl XLVI and the New York Knicks win the 2012 NBA Championship?

Yes 50/1

FUTURE SPECIALS - Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl XLVI and the New York Yankees win the 2012 World Series?

Yes 14/1

FUTURE SPECIALS - Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl XLVI and the New York Rangers win the 2012 Stanley Cup?

Yes 20/1

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