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Quick Analysis - How much will it cost to trade up to the #2 or #3 in the draft?


There is obviously a lot of talk about whether trading up in this year's draft for Andrew Luck or Robert Griffin III is the appropriate option.

This post isn't intended to provide an evaluation of options. I just want to make sure everyone is discussing options from the same basis.

Here is the draft pick value chart:

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via img254.imageshack.us

As you can see, the number 2 pick is worth 2600 pts and the number 3 pick is worth 2200 pts.


If you assume we can get one of the QBs at the third (#3) pick, we need to trade our 1st and 2nd pick this year, with some other premium. We could also trade our #1 this year and #1 next year, which is valued like this years 2nd pick.

Quick Summary of Options - #6 -> #3

2012 RD1, 2012 RD2, 2012 RD4

OR

2012 RD1, 2013 RD1, 2012 RD4.

Either of these options would leave the Redskins with the following picks in the 2012:

  • RD 1 #3 pick in the draft
  • RD 3
  • RD 4 (we have an extra from the Campbell trade)
  • RD 6
  • RD 7

Now if we need to get to the 2nd pick, it becomes more difficult. We basically need to give up this years #1, next years #1, and some combination of picks...or basically our entire draft this year.

Obviously, in both cases, there are other combos that work, but I think these are the most likely, but please correct if you wish.

Feel free to use the chart and quick summary to discuss options moving forward.

(Please note that this does not include the real possibility of a bidding war that raises prices)

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