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NFL Draft Profile: Running Back Dion Lewis - PIT

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In the coming weeks I'm going to be highlighting some prospects that might interest the Redskins throughout the draft. Considering the majority of Washington's picks come in the 5th round or later, I thought it would be appropriate to start off with a late round option.

Dion Lewis, RB- Pittsburgh:

Background: Lewis ran for a combined 2,860 yards on 544 carries for a 5.3 average. He added he added 52 receptions and another 405 yards through the air. 

Measurables: 5'8" 195 pounds

Projected draft position: I personally have him much higher than this, but most scouting services have him between a 5th-7th rounder, with the majority in the 5th round range.

Pros, Cons and Analysis after the jump...

Star-divide

Pros:

 

  • Highly productive college career
  • Changes direction on a dime
  • Quick and shifty, knows how to make people miss
  • Good speed burst and accelaration
  • Good balance and doesn't go down on first contact
  • Runs with a low center of gravity, doesn't present a big target to tacklers
  • Smart, instinctive player and not afraid to run between the tackles
  • Good vision and excellent patience in waiting for the play to develop
  • Ultimate competitor, hard worker, no known character concerns
  • Playmaker, consistently came up with big plays when they were needed most

Cons:

  • Not a home run hitter, won't outrun defenders, relies more on agility
  • Despite good speed burst, he can't sustain it over long distances
  • Only an adequate pass catcher at this point
  • Not a great blocker
  • Small, needs to add some strength 
  • At times gets too patient in the backfield 
  • Had a fairly drastic decline in production his sophomore year

Analysis:
Lewis is a running back that I think is getting widely overlooked in scouting circles, because he doesn't have that breakaway speed. Normally people expect smaller backs, to run 40 times in the 4.3's or at worst low 4.4's. That isn't likely to be the case with Lewis as he will probably be more of a 4.48-4.53 type of guy. The thing that scouts seem to overlook, is his very good initial burst. He can still get to the outside or the 2nd level, he just doesn't have the sustained speed. He's not the type of running back who will make one cut, get to the sideline and is off to the races. He can still make those 50 and 60 yard runs, but he will do it with his agility and football I.Q. 

Lewis is one of the better running backs at changing directions, and juking defenders. In addition to physically being able to cut, Lewis sells it so well with his body language that a lot of defenders over pursue. Add to that his balance and physical running style and you have a back that can pick up big chunks of yards consistently. While he will get compared to some of the speed backs of the past few years, its not a good fit for him. What he lacks in straight away speed, he makes up for in toughness and an ability to be more of a complete back. Overall I don't think he will be a 25 carry a game type of back, but 15+ should be alright. Lewis is the type of back who will get overlooked because he doesn't fit a cookie cutter image, but end up being one of the most productive backs from this class.


Why he makes sense for the Skins:
Whether you love Ryan Torain or not as the Redskins top running back, one thing is abundantly clear in the NFL, and that is you can't survive with just one running back.Considering the extensive injury history Torain has, the Redskins have to especially concerned with having an order of succession. Last season, on more than one occasion the Redskins were left with only a single healthy running back, that can't be the issue again this season. Although Keiland Williams showed himself to be a capable backup running back, and third down option, he isn't the type of back who should have to start for an extended period of time. Williams for a series is fine, Williams for 4 weeks, isn't really an option. The Redskins need to add a back, but given their other needs shouldn't spend big money in free agency or a high pick in the draft.

Enter Dion Lewis. Lewis is the perfect fit for D.C. as he has a lot of potential, but should be readily available in the 5th or 6th round. Lewis' vision and patience are a perfect fit for Coach Shanahan's zone blocking scheme. As are his shiftiness and his football smarts.

Lewis is also a great complementary back to Torain and Williams, because he runs with a completely different style than both of them. He might not be the track star, most people would want to complete the backfield, but he is a different enough runner that it will work. He is quick enough to run off tackle more, but still has the toughness to run inside (which is good for if Torain is injured). Lewis's open field abilities will be a big weapon for the Skins, and a great fit for Washington's scheme. Lewis could very well be next in a long list of late round running backs that Shanahan turned into to stars.

While the range is wide on where Lewis will be selected, I have a feeling he will be available in the late rounds. I think he is an excellent choice for their higher pick in the 5th round, and not to risk waiting around any longer for him.

Check out the rest of my draft coverage here and check back for more Draft Profiles (if there is any interesting player, you'd like me to look at write his name in the comments and I'll be happy to give my thoughts, or do an entire post!)

Poll
Would you be happy drafting RB Dion Lewis with the Skins top pick in the 5th round?
Yes, perfect fit
104 votes
Yes, but he will be long gone by then
71 votes
Maybe, but I'd rather wait around for a later pick
51 votes
Yes to a RB but no to Lewis
45 votes
The Skins shouldn't take a running back at all this draft
35 votes

306 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 29 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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This guy dropped like a rock this year.

He was probably looked at like a 1st or 2nd rounder in August. He’s just not fast enough for how small he is.

by Parks Smith on Feb 21, 2011 2:03 PM EST reply actions  

I'll bet now that he won't be under a 4.50.

And at 5’7 185 he’s nothing special. I’d rather take a look at DaRel Scott 5’11 205 with legit sub 4.40 speed in the 5th.

I consider myself a one man wolfpack..

by Diesel44 on Feb 21, 2011 3:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah but Scott isn't nearly half the RB Lewis is

he might be faster, but boy did he struggle Senior Bowl week. Again getting too hyped on speed is a little ridiculous. LeSean McCoy ran a 4.50 at his pro day, okay he’s a little bigger, but he is still defined by his speed/quickness.

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 3:55 PM EST up reply actions  

With Lewis's size he's clearly a situational guy.

Factor in..
Lack of speed
Lack of blocking ability
Lack of ability to play special teams (coverage or returns)

and he’s not an NFL player..

I like Locke, Devine, Scott better in the back half of the draft.

I consider myself a one man wolfpack..

by Diesel44 on Feb 21, 2011 4:00 PM EST up reply actions  

He could play special teams...just because he hasn't done it doesn't mean he can't

Devine has never really returned kicks…and if it is a question of speed, Rock Cartwright did alright returning kicks for his career…

Also I don’t think he has a ‘lack of speed’, just a lack of 40 yard speed. He has plenty enough speed to be a running back in the NFL. Look at Ryan Torain, his 40 yard time was like a 4.6…yes they are different players, but when he broke those long runs against Tampa all that mattered, were speed/quickness/acceleration/and agility. He wasn’t busting through 3 tacklers. Game speed is a completely different thing than 40 yard speed (hence why the NFL takes note of 10 and 20 yard times)

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 4:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Where do you see him playing?

as in what packages/situations.

I consider myself a one man wolfpack..

by Diesel44 on Feb 21, 2011 5:40 PM EST up reply actions  

The quick answer is he can run in any package/situation

which is why I prefer him over some other quicker options.

The more long winded answer is I would primarily run him off tackle or around the end. But would have little issue running him inside as long as it was a base defense. Lewis’s cutback ability really separates him for me, and I think that is why he can be special in this system. Shanahan’s RB’s were rarely the fastest players in the NFL, but they could make people miss. Lewis will struggle against more jumbo packages, or deep inside the redzone when LB’s and Safeties are playing up. But between the 20’s I think he can have success running inside (and hopefully cutting it back for a big gain!).

I think Lewis is best served to have about 10-15 carries a game, but since he can run in any formation or in any hole, he doesn’t fit in one area of the playbook. Now I would limit him in passing until he shows he can block better, but I’d love to see him with more screens and open field passing (though not likely on 3rd downs). I see him as a change of pace back who comes in for 2-3 plays here or there.

I hope that answers your question.

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 6:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes and No.

I couldn’t see him making the team. He doesn’t offer anything we don’t already have. We need a HR hitter out of the backfield. He’s going to need a sub 4.50 40 to even get drafted.

But I appreciate your loyalty to players from PITT.

I consider myself a one man wolfpack..

by Diesel44 on Feb 21, 2011 6:35 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

haha thanks

I do feel he offers something different than Torain/Williams because he is quicker and more elusive (not to mention a smaller target).

Check out this video I found on youtube about the ESPN college guys talking about Lewis. These are the exact intangibles I’m talking about. I know it is from his freshman year, but I still believe he is that guy. Here’s the link

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 8:17 PM EST up reply actions  

I've seen him play over a dozen times.

He’s nice but like I said he’s definitely more shifty but I want and we need a HR hitter.

I consider myself a one man wolfpack..

by Diesel44 on Feb 21, 2011 8:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree with that

And I wish we had earlier picks to maybe grab one, but I still have faith in Lewis being a big play guy (just won’t always be a TD).

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 8:38 PM EST up reply actions  

We don't need a guy like Dion Lewis if we can snatch Da'Rel Scott

in the 6th or 7th Round, he would get a fair amount of touches and is actually what we’re looking for: a guy who runs a sub-4.4 40 Yard Dash, has the ability to take it to the house on any given carry, and has decent vision. I would take Lewis, but I’d rather take Da’Rel Scott because he’s bigger and stronger, he could be the lightning to Ryan Torain’s thunder.

Dear Passionate fan, I know you are passionate, but please reply with a logical answer or I will ignore you.

by TerpsAllTheWay on Feb 21, 2011 4:23 PM EST up reply actions  

If this is a repost sorry...

I thought i posted this but it’s not coming up:

I realize Scott is your boy, but i’m not a fan of his. I didn’t see a running back who could play at the next level in the Senior Bowl and don’t think he will ever be even a situational guy. I’m hoping I see more at the Combine and read glowing reports from his pro day. But from what I’ve seen so far he isn’t a legit option for the Skins.

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 4:36 PM EST up reply actions  

That's why he is a great buy low candidate

Straight line speed is only one part of the equation, Trung Candidate ran like a sub 4.3, but couldn’t make people miss, and couldn’t find a hole with a Garmin. I think his elusiveness, smarts and quick cutting ability play up the best in the NFL. He has the secondary traits needed, and a lot of times that is what is most important.

I meant to put this comparison in the meat of the post, but he does remind me of a cross between Ray Rice and Darren Sproles. And for what it is worth Sproles ran a 4.47 at the combine, and he is like 10 lbs lighter. I think some guys just have better game day speed than track speed.

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 2:18 PM EST up reply actions  

I gotta disagree man, especially even comparing him to a name like Rice.

I think there may be some Panthers homerism going on just a weee bit…

I saw a lot of this kid this year (I’m sure not as much as you), but he seems to get tripped up an awful lot. And I definitely don’t think he’s an “ultimate competitor”, I’ve seen him duck contact and run out of bounds more than any other running back. And we’re going to get a small “change of pace” back they have to be more than adequate in the passing game, b/c there will likely be a ton of screen passes.

Guys with the size and speed of Dion Lewis, Armando Allen, etc. are going to be a dime a dozen after the first 3 or 4 rounds in this year’s draft. Lewis is a guy that should of stayed in school.

I’d much rather get a guy like Derrick Locke out of Kentucky.

by Parks Smith on Feb 21, 2011 2:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I won't deny that I'm a fan of Lewis and the Panthers

but I do try to be unbiased and usually i do that by being whatever team or player I like’s harshest critic.

I know this was a down year for Lewis and he did avoid contact some by going out of bounds more than the year prior, but I dont’ know how many times that really impacted the game. Lewis also took a lot a pounding this year running between the tackles so, I wouldn’t say that he can’t handle the contact. I do agree that he needs to work on his passing game, but he has the skills to be a good receiver out of the backfield, its just not there yet. In large part, because Pitt doesn’t throw a ton of screens or passes to their backs.

I use Rice as a comparison, because they are both tough, compact runners. Rice has better speed, Lewis better elusiveness. And personally I’d put him over most of those small/speed guys (notable exceptions Hunter and Rodgers). A guy like Locke is way to injury prone, and Devine i don’t think could ever run between the tackles in the NFL. I can get behind Jordan Todman and a few others, but I really believe in Lewis and think that his 40 time isn’t all that defines him. I like his durability (only one missed game in two years), and his team first attitude.

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 3:20 PM EST up reply actions  

i'd rather locke too parks....good point

Pride is better than wins in Washington. But bring us wins and we will make you immortal - Ask Mark Rypien

by TheUberest on Feb 21, 2011 3:24 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm a little ambivalent on Lewis. He had a much better season in 09 than 10.

Looked like a potential Heisman candidate after his freshman season. Doesn’t appear to be injury related. I don’t like him in the 5th as much as others who could be there. I think they need more of a receiving back who can block, yet still provide some breakaway ability. Lewis in the 7th would work for me, but I think the 5th will offer players with higher potential to consider.

Pitt O vs WVa D 2010 Baldwin-Pinkston-Lewis
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KR8hQb0sCcY&feature=more_related

by JDC15 on Feb 21, 2011 3:29 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

I'm still partial to Taiwan Jones, pending his pro-day.

Combine could change opinions on many of these later round prospects.

by JDC15 on Feb 21, 2011 3:34 PM EST reply actions  

I do like Jones alot

He is a very intriguing prospect and another good pick in that range (wouldn’t be shocked if hype gets him drafted higher though)

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

haha sorry

I tried to cover all options, but yeah it reads harder than I wanted it to!

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 4:32 PM EST up reply actions  

It's sad cause it could be true

Steveospeak- content manager of http://www.fanspeak.com

by Steve Shoup on Feb 21, 2011 4:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Ha! Then he will train with Portis, Moss…etc and not even show up to Redskins Park until the season starts.

The Once and Future King

by FlaGators on Feb 21, 2011 9:30 PM EST up reply actions  

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