Redskins vs Bills Game Preview - Identifying the Mismatches
by Kevin Ewoldt on Oct 28, 2011 4:00 PM EDT
in Redskins Analysis
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Here's our weekly Q&A with SB Nation's Buffalo Rumblings, easily one of the top football websites in the SB Nation family. Brian Galliford also contributes to the SB Nation main NFL site mock drafts and power rankings. Fire away:
1.) Bills have a NFL worst 4 sacks yet are 2nd best in INTs with 12. What should be the game plan for the Redskins who have a banged up OLine, two solid rushers, terrible WRs, and a decent, mobile QB?
Buffalo Rumblings: The formula is pretty simple: establish the run, set up the play-action game, get John Beck out of the pocket making simple reads, and make sure to keep the Bills out of passing lanes as much as possible. Many of Buffalo's big plays defensively have been tipped passes generated by quarterback pressure, so though the sack numbers aren't high - and though the pass rush is definitely the weak point of the Bills' defense - they've still been able to make some things happen.
2.) The Bills have actually lost their last two road games, are you nervous about this game?
Yes, they've lost their last two road games - by a field goal each to two playoff contenders. It's concerning that they're struggling to close games out on the road, but it's not as if they're playing poorly away from home, either. I am not any more nervous about this game than I would be if the team were undefeated on the road - all that matters is that the Redskins are a good team.
3.) The Redskins are outmatched on defense but are great at getting to the QB...what has worked well in slowing down Fred Jackson and Ryan Fitzpatrick. Holy sh!t?!... Fred Jackson is averaging 5.7 yards a carry?
Yeah, Fred Jackson is having an MVP-type season if the world existed without Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. The best way to slow down Fitzpatrick is to harass him with pressure, which the Redskins should be able to do on Sunday. I honestly have no suggestions regarding Jackson, other than to limit his big plays - he's got 14 runs of 10 or more yards through six games this season. He's also capable of making big plays as a receiver; he's got nine receptions of 10 or more yards, and is averaging 11.6 yards per reception as Buffalo's third-leading receiver.
4.) Looking at NFL play direction stats, 170 passes have been to the left side of the field and only 31 to the right. That seems quite one dimensional there. If it ain't broken don't fix it?
That's not anything I've ever heard before, quite frankly, and strikes me as a statistical oddity that will correct itself over time. Fitzpatrick reads the whole field and the Bills move receivers all over the field, so I wouldn't focus too much on one side of the formation if I were Washington.
5.) What's your prediction and biggest mismatch on either side of the ball?
The biggest mismatch of the game is Washington's pass rush against Buffalo's offensive line, which will feature left guard Andy Levitre at left tackle this week thanks to injuries to their top two left tackles. Levitre is an excellent football player, but he's not an NFL left tackle. Brian Orakpo is going to give him fits. That said, Chan Gailey and Fitzpatrick are outstanding at setting up protection schemes, Jackson is one of the NFL's best blocking backs, and I think they'll negate Orakpo and the Redskins enough on that front to make enough plays to win. Bills 20, Redskins 17.
As I told Brian, I think the Bills win in a blowout. Poor tackling is not something that fixes itself. If Chan Gailey likes mismatches, then how about their back up wide receiver David Nelson, who's 6'5 220 lbs. Who on our D can stop him in the red zone? He led WRs last week vs the Giants with 4 receptions and 62 yards.
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Man we already cut that Compas guy, Thompson back up to the 53 man.
Editor at Hogs Haven - Redskins Blog
Twitter: @RVAparks Check it out for the latest Redskins news and opinions
damn i thought he was part of our young core
Steveospeak - Content Manager of Fanspeak.com
I thought he was going to point us in the right direction! GET IT?
Editor at Hogs Haven - Redskins Blog
Twitter: @RVAparks Check it out for the latest Redskins news and opinions
That crazy hoser OJ da' JuiceMan Atogwe can stop him.
Who on our D can stop him in the red zone?
A hundred bucks of my own money for the first of my guys who really nails that creep!
Editor at Hogs Haven - Redskins Blog
Twitter: @RVAparks Check it out for the latest Redskins news and opinions
Another stat on Bills D, of the NFL’s top 30 defenders in tackles, 3 of them are Bills…..none are Skins (and over 20 teams’ defenses are on the field more than the Bills).
I think tackling is going to be a big problem…Fred Jackson is 3rd best RB breaking tackles (24 so far this year).
"You guys know how this works. You ask questions and I don't answer them." Mike Shanahan to Washington media reporters
High tackle totals is not necessarily a good thing
A defense that can’t get off the field is going to make a lot of tackles.
The biggest turning point on the Bills’ D will be whether or not they can force turnovers. They just have too many injuries to consistently stop the other O (and weren’t doing a great job before these injuries either, except in the opening day blowout against KC).
If the Bills can force a few turnovers, the Bills will win, IMO. If they can’t, it will be very, very close, and the Skins may be able to take advantage of the neutral site.
Give a monkey a typewriter and infinite time, and he’ll eventually release Maybin. -- stetzwebs
No one circles the waiver wire like the Buffalo Bills!
by thefourwinds on Oct 28, 2011 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Did you see what I have in parenthesis? Bills do get off the field and still have high tackles #s.
"Before you diagnose yourself with depression or low self-esteem, first make sure that you’re not, in fact, surrounded by assholes." - William Gibson
by Kevin Ewoldt on Oct 28, 2011 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I like how you phrased the question:
Skins have terrible receivers
Homerism only goes so far I suppose lol
by Dammit Cerrato... on Oct 28, 2011 4:20 PM EDT reply actions
Buffalo is a hot pile of oven-broiled garbage.
They will be exposed on Sunday as the lame collection of bumbling idiots they are.
THE TWILIGHT SAGA: BREAKING DAWN, PART 1 – IN THEATERS NOVEMBER 18TH!!!!!
Who puts their garbage in their oven?
Editor at Hogs Haven - Redskins Blog
Twitter: @RVAparks Check it out for the latest Redskins news and opinions
I don't know, it just came out of my brain.
THE TWILIGHT SAGA: BREAKING DAWN, PART 1 – IN THEATERS NOVEMBER 18TH!!!!!
They are slow-roasted dirty diapers.
THE TWILIGHT SAGA: BREAKING DAWN, PART 1 – IN THEATERS NOVEMBER 18TH!!!!!
In all honesty
I have more faith that we can win this game than the Carolina game. Carolina’s freaking dangerous in any game they play, no matter the opponent.
I think the bills are a lot more conventional, we can play conventional.
by Dammit Cerrato... on Oct 28, 2011 4:25 PM EDT reply actions
I heard the Raptors mascot is leading the Bills out on the field this week
Editor at Hogs Haven - Redskins Blog
Twitter: @RVAparks Check it out for the latest Redskins news and opinions
by Parks Smith on Oct 28, 2011 4:26 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
It's funny how his tail goes down.
THE TWILIGHT SAGA: BREAKING DAWN, PART 1 – IN THEATERS NOVEMBER 18TH!!!!!
Thanks for pointing that out
That is an amazing gif. It kind of reminds me of Rex at the end of the Dallas game.
So, will we get to see an old friend?
2008 3rd RD pick Chad Rhinehart. Look for the Bills to go with a quick passing game (a la Eagles) and hopefully our CBs won’t be playing 10 YDs off the LOS. I’m not sold on either team finishing with a winning record but I’ll take the Skins 23-20.
@Callahan_9 on the twitter machine.
Rinehart should start at LG for the Bills. He was playing RG when starter Kraig Urbik was out for a few games, and Rinehart played admirably. He will likely take over at LG now that Levitre is having to play LT.
Rinehart has done well on this solid Bills’ interior line.
Give a monkey a typewriter and infinite time, and he’ll eventually release Maybin. -- stetzwebs
No one circles the waiver wire like the Buffalo Bills!
by thefourwinds on Oct 28, 2011 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions
Skins 27-bills 24
I think we expose the bills week defense and force a few turn overs, I think kerrigan makes a big play as well
by BmoreRedskin on Oct 28, 2011 6:48 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Personally
I think the Redskins will win the rest of their regular season games. Beck has practiced with the 1st unit all week and I think that should be enough to beat the Bills.1 more week of practice and I think the Skins offense will be at least as good as Green bays.
by hambonejackson on Oct 28, 2011 9:40 PM EDT up reply actions
#4 is interesting to me.
if Fitz continues this trend, he will be throwing at Wilson all day and not DHall. We might have a chance.
Fred Jackson scares the hell outta me. I was feeling pretty good about this match-up until I realized how much of a beats Jackson has been this year.
"Please don't dominate the rap, Jack, if you got nothin' new to say."-Robert Hunter
the biggest mismatch is
their coach vs ours… the bills coach is playing to win at all cost. the redskins coach is playing to get his little boy kyle a nfl head coaching job at all costs
having a better qb and rb and going against a defensive guru like jim hasslet that calls cover zero blitz with cover guys that couldnt cover most of us doesnt help us either… if we dont lose this game by at least 14 ill get my kool aid out and start drinking it again.
I'll tell you what's gonna happen
The same thing that happened the last time we played a “potent” Bills offense…
Where do they teach you to talk like this? In some Panama City "Sailor wanna hump-hump" bar, or is it getaway day and your last shot at his whiskey? Sell crazy someplace else, we're all stocked up here.
god i wish we still had Marshall, Mann, Green and company
Steveospeak - Content Manager of Fanspeak.com
by Steve Shoup on Oct 29, 2011 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions
OK, but don’t you think they might be a little old and out of shape now? Except for D. Green of course.
by redskins-texas-fan on Oct 29, 2011 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions
Well he is one we need the most!!
"Please don't dominate the rap, Jack, if you got nothin' new to say."-Robert Hunter
Wilbur Marshall
My all time favorite free agent Redskin
Where do they teach you to talk like this? In some Panama City "Sailor wanna hump-hump" bar, or is it getaway day and your last shot at his whiskey? Sell crazy someplace else, we're all stocked up here.
Yep
Cost us two draft picks, and a boatload of money (for back then). And worth every bit of it. Hell, the “option return” vs. Arizona in ’91 itself was worth it. That was my favorite Redskins play that YEAR, at least top 5 all time.
Where do they teach you to talk like this? In some Panama City "Sailor wanna hump-hump" bar, or is it getaway day and your last shot at his whiskey? Sell crazy someplace else, we're all stocked up here.
we played the bills in the reg season after that super bowl.
And they crushed us. I believe they played the entire nfc east and destroyed everyone that season. again, that was during the regular season. I remember because I lost a lot of money on that game.
HTTR!
Had to ruin it, didn'tcha?
That’s OK. We were decimated by injuries that year, QB’s coming in and outta the lineup. Not at all like now.
Oh, wait…..
Where do they teach you to talk like this? In some Panama City "Sailor wanna hump-hump" bar, or is it getaway day and your last shot at his whiskey? Sell crazy someplace else, we're all stocked up here.
Wondering if anyone reads this..
Since it’s a new day and there are two college posts up..seen the cowboys released choice..not that I think he is very good..but I see us picking him up since we are down a rb and well since he’s played for a rival … Anyone else think so?
by BuzzBee on Oct 29, 2011 3:34 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
I'm here as well,
Interesting, hadn’t even crossed my mind, but doesn’t he have a very similar skill set as Helu?
We have more holes than roster spots, I would rather get something we don’t already have….but I don’t know that I would be pissed either.
"Please don't dominate the rap, Jack, if you got nothin' new to say."-Robert Hunter
Good to see..
Yeah..honestly I don’t know much about him..I just figured..with another Dallas game in a few weeks… We lost to them..so we may need some more insider info..haha..so yeah ..either way.. Idk
by BuzzBee on Oct 29, 2011 10:21 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
#1 Bills interceptions
“Many of Buffalo’s big plays defensively have been tipped passes generated by quarterback pressure, so though the sack numbers aren’t high – and though the pass rush is definitely the weak point of the Bills’ defense – they’ve still been able to make some things happen.” Eight of the Bills’ 12 interceptions (4 each Pats and Eagles) have come on two teams. Tipped passes have also involved over half of those interceptions. George Wilson has 3 interceptions; Scott, Barnett, and Florence have 2 each; Corner, McKelvin, and Searcy have one a piece. There have been 3 interceptions returns of 30 yards or more. The Bills will have to deal with Beck’s roll outs to have a similar high level of tipped passes and interceptions. Interceptions have resulted in 21 points for the Bills.
- Kevin – “The Redskins are outmatched on defense but are great at getting to the QB … what has worked well in slowing down Fred Jackson and Ryan Fitzpatrick.” Brian “Fred Jackson is having an MVP-type season … The best way to slow down Fitzpatrick is to harass him with pressure, which the Redskins should be able to do on Sunday. I honestly have no suggestions regarding Jackson, other than to limit his big plays.” The biggest problem for the Skins is holding down Jackson on runs and receptions. If the Skins can contain Fitzpatrick they can make the Bills one dimensional. Maybe the Skins get some pass deflections. If the Skins return to the form that previously had their defense ranked #6, the offensive vs defensive battle may favor the Skins. Without QBs like Vick and Newton the Skins defense should snap back.
Interesting odds movement
started at Bills -6, went to -7, now has dropped quickly to about Bills, -4 1/2 to -5. Some fairly big money must be coming in on the Skins.
Im'a bout to VENT! And sorry ahead of time!
WTF ..WTF.. WTF.. I hate being a REDSKIN fan and living in Baltimore City.. It’s bad enough that according to the Post.. By NFL rule.. If the home team is playing ..no other team is allowed to be played on tv…so I love when we play at different times…tmr.. Ravens at 1…but on fox…so at 4…no REDSKINS…I get paid programming? Really? And on CBS the Steelers? Why? The Redskins have been paying some form of taxes to Maryland alot longer than the Ravens…sorry Baltimore..when I became a football fan…there was no Baltimore team…sorry but FUCK YOU BALTIMORE…again sorry…I’m so mad right now… I don’t have money to go to a bar…where I can’t even hear to pay attention..or get a damn seat where I can see…and so before the season..I called direct tv….no in my area they tell me by NFL rule…the Redskins are considered a local team…so they can’t play them on NFL season ticket in BALTIMORE..?? So I’m confused..how by NFL rule can they not be played during the same time as the Ravens because the Ravens are the local team…although a few weeks ago they played a Green Bay game at the same time..but yet by NFL rule..the REDSKINS can’t be played on season ticket…because in Baltimore they are a local team?? I can’t even get the damn radio station…yet I can get the Panthers..pittsburg and some out west team….WTF …WTF.. And tmr..I just don’t understand …yet right down the street …in AA county..they get the Skins.. I don’t know if it’s possible..and may sound stupid..but we the fans shouldve had a say in the lockout..they make their money because of us… Yet local teams who don’t sell a certain number of tickets..their fans get shafted by the NFL with blackouts..and with the issue I’m dealing with..I’m talking to a damn lawyer..maybe we can combine for a class action lawsuit against the NFL for the fans…cause these money hungry bastard ass bitches keep pissing me the fuck off… Ok again sorry for my language…I’m just so mad right now… I didn’t even try to make arrangements to watch the game elsewhere cause I thought with a different time..I’d have no problem…guess I’ll try the net..but the last time the link kept freezing and was so delayed the damn espn update ruined the comeback win for me…the link was still in the third quarter… Damn it! Yet as a Oriole fan..they still play the Nationals..baseball is 162 games..I get tired of it..football is 16…I should be able to see all 16… Damn I’m hurt… Win it for me REDSKINS! HTTR!… Well no football for me tomorrow..I refuse to watch the Ravens.. Starting to hate them more than the Cowboys..
by BuzzBee on Oct 30, 2011 1:53 AM EDT via mobile reply actions 1 recs
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