Hogs Haven Fantasy Debate
by Ken Meringolo on Sep 7, 2010 2:10 PM EDT
in Fantasy Football
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PrintWe're days away from the start of the season. Most NFL teams have finalized their depth charts. Countless fantasy owners are kicking themselves for drafting guys like Matt Leinart too high, or the Jets Defense too low--based on late-breaking developments (in leagues where defenses matter).
Today's question: Which fantasy player has changed in value the most over the last two weeks? It can be the most negative change or the most positive change.
I will make my argument for the Jets Defense. That is how good I think Darelle Revis is and how much of an impact he makes on his team. I play in leagues where Defensive units can make or break you any given week. They are not throwaway fantasy players. In fact, top defenses regularly go for the same auction amount as a middle-tier quarterback or running back.
Revis takes away the best receiver the other team has to offer. These are not just empty words uttered by so many talking heads on ESPN. Last season, the opponent's top receiver averaged roughly 29 yards against Revis and the Jets. That is insane. It was by far the best in the league and far better than the league average. With Antonio Cromartie on one side and Revis Island on the other, this secondary is as rock solid as you could ask for...allowing their front seven to absolutely wreak havoc on the quarterback.
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I think the most change in value is...
The Seattle offense, you go with Mike Williams or Justin Forsett, but by getting rid of Julius Jones and Housh these guys have vaulted into a possibly lucrative fantasy spot.
I’d also argue that Randy Moss, Brandon Marshall, and Lee Evans (sure, why not?) value has gone down slightly b/c they’ll be locked down by Revis for two games.
I can’t buy into the Jets defense with their value going up 1) b/c defenses never matter that much, I think you could platoon defenses week to week by looking at match ups and do just as good as a top rated defense and 2) did anyone think Revis really wasn’t going to play?
I think Housch
makes Boldin and Mason a little better..
Revis helps their defense, but from a fantasy perspective, you have to factor in special teams heavily, and I just as soon as soon take Philly’s D/ST based on DeSean Jackson and his returns..
i saw on fftoolbox.com
That Flacco has the hardest schedule of all 32 Qbs (ranked by # of points defenses gave up last year)….oddly, McNabb was #1.
http://www.fftoolbox.com/football/strength_of_schedule.cfm
Hogs Haven. On Twitter. And Facebook.
I thought fftoolbox was Ken's nickname?
by Parks Smith on Sep 7, 2010 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
haha...it is now.
We have our draft tonight…(one we’ve been in for 6+ years…auction draft). Looking fwd to sharing his roster on this one. Any takers he doesn’t have a QB ranked in the top 15? Or that is under 40 years old?
Hogs Haven. On Twitter. And Facebook.
My vote is for.....
Mike Williams WR Tampa Bay He was drafted after Arrelious Benn but has taken the #1 receiver spot in TB. He’s had a super strong offseason and is hardly owned by anyone in fantasy leagues. I think you could also go with Jahvid Best in Detroit as well as Sam Bradford in St.Louis….another RC QB to watch is Max Hall in Arizona. With Leinart gone and D.Anderson as QB…there should be a short leash and Whisecunt already said Hall had by far the best preseason. . As far as established players….I would say Mike Williams for Seattle coming back from utter failure. The Jets Defense as a whole has gotten better…at least on paper. With the addtions of Cromartie and Wilson to the secondary and returning almost all their key players….they have only bolstered the #1 def. I would also look at Jermichael Finley in GB…..he was already supposed to breakout….but I think this preseason has really shown he is ready. Who knows though…..this is the NFL!!!!
In a 14 team league w/
(3) wide receivers and a flex spot….plus 5 bench positions…..you kinda have to wash the turds to see what’s in there! I think he is a big time sleeper….will he get 1000 yards…..prolly not….but I could see 700 and 8 TDS…..not bad when you are stretched thin.
I'm putting all of my sleeper money on Mike Williams from TB
I picked him up in both of my leagues. He’s been nothing short of amazing in preseason, has the #1 spot and Josh Freeman is better than he was last year. I think he’ll surprise you..
I like Williams....
he is my sleeper pick of the year for this year’s rookie crop. I collect cards to I I have stocked up on his auto rookie cards……just waiting on the season to start to start unloading. My only concern is he never showed this kind of talent in college. He was solid but in-consistent. I just hope he keeps the fire he has come into the NFL with.
Old Man Favre
We all knew #4 would be back. Last season was one of his best ever (despite what some of you predicted). But with Sidney Rice’s hip surgery and PUP list placement, Percy Harvin’s migraine problems, and Favre himself needing shots in his surgically repaired ankle between preseason games, his stock has definitely dropped.
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