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Pour Some Sugar On Me - Only One Year Without A Cap? Not So Fast...The Golden Age For the Washington Redskins Hinges On Life Without the Cap


There seems to be this assumption out there that the salary cap is only going to be gone for a year. I understand why people might be quick to assume that. After all...we are talking about the jewel of all professional sports leagues worldwide. Assuming that people would want to get the ship "righted" as quickly as possible and back to business as usual, it would make sense that the salary cap would be back in tow by 2011.

What has the NFL drummed into our brains over the last decade and a half? Oh yeah..."Parity." Or "competitive balance." The notion that on "any given Sunday", any team can beat any other team is a cornerstone of the league. Add to that the ability for teams to turn bad seasons around and make Super Bowl runs the following year and you have a veritable factory that manufactures compelling story lines by the bucket load.

The salary cap has been largely credited with accomplishing all this and evening the playing field, but what people consistently forget is that probably more important than the cap was the floor that went along with it. For example, in 2009, the salary cap was $128 million. By rule in 2009, the salary floor was 87.6% of the salary cap, or $112 million. That means teams were required to spend that much per year on their roster. Seems like a lot of money until you realize that every team is clearing roughly $114 million per year through 2011 under the current TV deals. Add on to that the average operating income per team of about $26.4 million over the last five years and it is obvious without going too much further why the league has seemed to be printing money. The annual share per team of TV revenue and the average operating income numbers per team were pulled from a State of the Game piece put out by the NFL Players Association.

Star-divide

I like using the NFLPA' sperspective here because I am simply stunned that armed with the knowledge they seem to have, they find themselves in this new world of no salary cap. Who was their lead negotiator...Master P? Listen, I get you have to draw a hard line in the sand in these disputes, but the pain inflicted on their ranks this year is immense. Over 200 players were prevented from hitting the market. Franchises became compelled to dump higher-priced, older talent. The feeding frenzy that occurs at the outset of free agency was muted this year, with only a few teams ponying up for the handful of guys who were lucky enough to cash in this offseason. The players are getting slaughtered. And the mandated minimum amount teams were required to spend on players is gone. Even the Washington Redskins, famous for their free-wheeling spending, are currently at roughly a $70 million player payroll...over $40 million less than what they would have been required to spend on their roster just one year ago. Sure, that number will go up, but the mega-contracts that could eat up that difference are gone. Larry Foote and Wilie Parker are not going to put the Skins anywhere close to $100 million.

The NFLPA always threatened that if the salary cap went away, they would never agree to another one. And without a salary cap, there will be no salary floor either, I suspect. Smart move.

At this point, we should recognize that the pain the players are dealing with now will subside. The elimination of the salary cap really screwed the 4th and 5th year guys, creating a two-year window that will serve to restrict who does and does not get to enjoy the fruits of unrestricted free agency. That will work itself out...over two years. In the coming years, guys who stay healthy and make it to their 6th year are going to start hitting the market more and more. And when that happens, we will start to see a great divide widen in the league. The rich teams will wield their financial power and the poorer teams will take the scraps. The players will benefit from this. The kinds of contracts that will get doled out by Dan Snyder, Jerry Jones, and Robert Kraft will make the players union very happy.

I think that while a few small market owners may find this arrangement to be bothersome, just as many if not more middle class owners will be happy to field the best $50-75 million team they can and pocket the rest of the dough. And some of those teams will compete in the postseason. In baseball, we see plenty of owners who field competitive teams on a fraction of the payroll that the big market teams employ. The beauty of the NFL is that the playoffs are more inclusive than the MLB, and each round is one-and-done.

So right about when the players would be otherwise "okay" with the absence of the salary cap, the owners will find themselves possibly at odds over whether or not to bring it back. The more I look at this situation, the less I believe we will see the salary cap back any time soon.

Which leads me to...

Are we on the brink of a Golden Age in Washington? Have the stars finally aligned to create the perfect scenario for this franchise to be dominant over a long period of time? Consider:

  • We have a bona fide General Manager in place that has ostensibly seized all control of the entire organization
  • We have a coach in his first year (here) that is hungry to prove that he can re-establish a dynasty in this town on the field.
  • We have an owner who may have finally arrived at a place in time where his wallet can wield a true advantage in the NFL. By that, I mean as teams get comfortable living under the old salary floor, he will have fewer competitors for the high-priced free agents coming in the next few years.

As I watch the team operate in these early days of free agency, I find myself wagering my best guess at their strategy, and it sounds tantalizingly good. This is what I envision Bruce Allen telling his reports about what they are doing:

"We are going to get younger, immediately. We need to get rid of the older vets who are preventing our younger players from developing on the field. Instead of adding the high-priced free agents in this year's free agent class, we'll focus on bringing in our draft picks and putting them on the field in those spots. If we miss the playoffs this upcoming year, we actually find ourselves in an advantageous spot for next year's free agent crop, free of the restrictions that handcuff winning teams in this new system. Armed with the knowledge of who we have and what they can do on the field, we can then seek to add bigger names to complement our team - and we can do so with Dan Snyder's wallet."

I also fully expect the Skins to do everything in their power to trade some of these guys that they tendered. I think the additional 3rd and 4th rounders they would be willing to take fit perfectly into the strategy, and I am dying to see how Allen and Shanahan would use those picks. Everyone thinks that Dan Snyder is okay with standing pat this offseason, but I think it is even better than that. I think he is okay with taking a step BACKWARD this upcoming season. I think Bruce Allen and Mike Shanahan have convinced him that the best thing this franchise can do is start over. What better time to do that than now...when we are essentially rewarded for waiting on upcoming drafts and free agent classes?

I don't think the salary cap is coming back any time soon...and I think this is the best news Redskins fans could hope to hear.

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just today's?

Here’s USAToday’s annual salary base for the Redskins…it still has some Ex Skins on them but a great sheet..

http://content.usatoday.com/sports/football/nfl/salaries/teamdetail.aspx?team=32&year=2009

"I am excited about starting 2009. We are looking forward to an outstanding year. We're on our way. We have a lot of healthy players this year." - Vinny Cerrato

by Kevin Ewoldt on Mar 9, 2010 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Hadn't thought about it in such a way.

Good read. So do you think that if there is no cap in 2011 and it looks like there isn’t a cap on the horizon, then our payroll will start to increase faster than other teams? Eventually we will be counting on the fact that the cap won’t return, otherwise we’d be screwed when it does. Interesting stuff to think about.

by CarverM on Mar 9, 2010 11:57 AM EST up reply actions  

And how it affects the price of cheap domestics!

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 9, 2010 12:01 PM EST up reply actions  

If we're smart

The market will open as it always does. There will be a mad rush for the top tier free agents (Albert, Peppers, and the like). If we can be patient in the coming years we’ll own the 2nd tier market. Real quality players who have yet to peak. These guys will be true value pick ups. I just hope we don’t go back to setting the market just because we can. Otherwise the effect on cheap domestics will not be good.

by RPMontana on Mar 9, 2010 12:10 PM EST up reply actions  

If there is no cap on the horizon...

I would expect the Redskins to rise to the top of the payroll list for sure…

But what I am hoping happens is that before we get to being the Yankees, we spend at least this year playing as much youth as possible. Then we can target high-priced talent to fill in the gaps in future years.

Assuming at that point we start making the playoffs (big assumption I know), we would start to be restricted in our free agent moves, so we would need to make sure we had a strong, young/talented core.

by Sugar on Mar 9, 2010 1:56 PM EST up reply actions  

It's possible

but a lot of things are possible.

Are we on the brink of a Golden Age in Washington

"By far the worst performers on the team are in the front office." – Sally Jenkins

by smutsboy1 on Mar 9, 2010 12:25 PM EST reply actions  

This rosy scenario requires a lot of faith in the judgment of Allen, Shanahan and most especially Snyder.

If my mother put on a helmet and shoulder pads and a uniform that wasn't the same as the one I was wearing, I'd run over her if she was in my way. And I love my mother. - Bo Jackson

by EANX33 on Mar 9, 2010 12:35 PM EST reply actions  

All indications so far

is that our faith is well placed.

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 9, 2010 12:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Not enough time has passed for anything to be a significant indicator

in light of how poorly Snyder has run this team for a decade.

"By far the worst performers on the team are in the front office." – Sally Jenkins

by smutsboy1 on Mar 9, 2010 12:54 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s what I’m talking about.

If my mother put on a helmet and shoulder pads and a uniform that wasn't the same as the one I was wearing, I'd run over her if she was in my way. And I love my mother. - Bo Jackson

by EANX33 on Mar 9, 2010 1:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Well...we have the time to observe it...

results so far are at least promising…what is now optimism can turn into well-placed faith after a full offseason of restraint and a solid draft.

by Sugar on Mar 9, 2010 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

If this is a step back year........

If the Redskins step back this year. I would hope that they would address the LT tackle need at 4 and wait until the 2011 draft to address the QB need.

Unless they are certain that Bradford and/or Clausen are franchise QBs and they are on the board at 4…..

by Jim Bob 585 on Mar 9, 2010 12:52 PM EST reply actions  

Cap

I understood that the probable return of a cap acts as a deterrent to spending too much now. So if no cap, no deterrent. I don’t follow your logic. Why wouldn’t the Skins just spend whatever it takes to get the players they want (not saying they necessarily want or should shoot for any of the big names)? As Rick Snider said in the Examiner, Snyder seems to have gone cheap at just the wrong time. The FA class was small anyway, and most are now gone, and we lost Clifton and Pashos – O-linemen – apparently for small change. A lot can still happen, but it’s looking more and more as if we’ll have to rely on the draft to beef up the O-line.

by Donnio1234 on Mar 9, 2010 12:56 PM EST reply actions  

This is ideal
it’s looking more and more as if we’ll have to rely on the draft to beef up the O-line

And if those guys weren’t a good fit for us, then why does it matter if we didn’t shell out the money for them? We’ve shelled out money for the premier free agents before, and found out the hard way that they weren’t a good fit for us.

by CarverM on Mar 9, 2010 1:03 PM EST up reply actions  

good.
it’s looking more and more as if we’ll have to rely on the draft to beef up the O-line.

this was always the case anyway.

"By far the worst performers on the team are in the front office." – Sally Jenkins

by smutsboy1 on Mar 9, 2010 1:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Part of my point is that we can use this time to put out a group of young players and see what they have

Then in subsequent seasons, we can bring in free agent players to complement them. As opposed to what has seemingly occurred in the past, which was to bring in high-priced guys who keep our young players off the field.

by Sugar on Mar 9, 2010 1:50 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

You mean a real athletic competition for positions?

Could happen.

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 9, 2010 2:21 PM EST up reply actions  

You mean like last season

except on purpose instead of attrition. lol

by RPMontana on Mar 9, 2010 2:27 PM EST up reply actions  

It beats hiring Tonya Harding

to do a Kerrigan on half our players…

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 9, 2010 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I know...seems crazy

Not to mention the emphasis on player development is going to blow some people’s minds

by Sugar on Mar 9, 2010 3:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Mostly the players

I think we’ve had a lot of talented guys just sittin around waiting for someone to get hurt as their only chance to get to play.

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 9, 2010 3:31 PM EST up reply actions  

I half agree and half disagree.

     I agree on your points of Allen and Shanahan foregoing the free agent market this year in anticipation of what next year will bring. It does make sense as the team is unlikely to contend this year, and there is serious doubt as to what the future will bring in a new CBA. Plus the fact that next year’s FA pool looks to be loaded, so being under any proposed cap would be advantageous. I also agree in that they will look at their younger players this year to truly evaluate them, and they will try to get as many draft picks as possible.
     I disagree on there not being a cap when the new CBA is agreed upon. There are roughly 10-12 ‘big market’ owners who would be happy without a cap, but a solid 18-20 that strongly support the current cap system. In my opinion, the ownership will realize that competitive balance is critical for their overall product, and agree to maintain a cap system. The owners wield all the negotiating power, so the players will be forced into acquiessence. The insertion of a lower draft choice cap will assuage the Union’s feelings as more mid-grade players will reap those dollars, and make an agreement with a cap more palatable for it’s members.

by johnnydee83 on Mar 9, 2010 1:00 PM EST reply actions  

I definitely think some draft choice salary cap is in the making...

but I also think that there will be enough owners who think they can win with a moderately priced payroll in the NFL to side with the “big-market” owners to keep a hard cap off the table.

Perhaps a luxury tax type of instrument is introduced, even further assuaging the smaller market owners. That would still favor the rich guys though right?

by Sugar on Mar 9, 2010 1:53 PM EST up reply actions  

No, that is a big sticking point now.

With the current revenue sharing, most big market owners feel they are subsidizing the other owners too much already. A luxury tax would only add to that. The owners will have to decide most of these issues amongst themselves. Whatever they eventually decide, the players will more or less have to go with it.

by johnnydee83 on Mar 9, 2010 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

We'll see where each owner digs his heels

My bet is that there will be some serious bickering internally and the rich guys are going to have make some concessions to get to the finish line.

by Sugar on Mar 9, 2010 2:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Yep, the owners have to hash out their differences.

They will probably use this year as a gauge to see where they are before serious negotiating takes place next year.

by johnnydee83 on Mar 9, 2010 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Well keep in mind...

That the cap system is no longer “current”. And simply getting the owners to say yes again is only half the battle. As Ken said, the NFLPA said the would “never” agree to go back to a cap system.

Foaming at the mouth from all the excitement of a "Kindergarten Ninja"-less Front Office!

by Rabid on Mar 9, 2010 4:34 PM EST up reply actions  

This just in

The Browns have unconditionally released Derek Anderson.

Anyone got an issue with bringing him in to compete with JC? OR some other scenario?

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 9, 2010 4:31 PM EST reply actions  

can't believe I'm saying this

but I’d rather have Grossman. He’s been in Kyle’s system, and Anderson looked like hot garbage last year.

SpottieOttieDopaliscious

by Rekka on Mar 9, 2010 4:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Did he get Ramseyed?

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 9, 2010 4:39 PM EST up reply actions  

not even close

SpottieOttieDopaliscious

by Rekka on Mar 9, 2010 4:44 PM EST up reply actions  

I am not a Derek Anderson guy...

If we keep JC, my plan would be:

1) Sign Grossman to back up/help JC learn the system
2) Draft Dan LeFevour to compete with Colt Brennan for President of the Meaningless Yet Still Enjoyable Preseason Orgasm Brigade…these guys would fight for the right to be the guy that gets us all excited in August but never sees the field in the regular season.
3) Draft Jake Locker next year to compete with Dan LeFevour for the starter’s job after JC throws for 4,000 yds and 30 TD’s this upcoming season yest is inexplicably traded to Baltimore to be reunited with Zorn.

wait…that’s really my plan? that doesn’t sound like me…

by Sugar on Mar 9, 2010 4:43 PM EST up reply actions  

You left Lady GaGa out of the mix

That would fix it – she can do everything!

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 9, 2010 4:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Seriously,

Can we afford 2 draft picks on QBs in the next 2 years? One, definitely, and preferably next year. If Jason is as bad as some insist, we will be drafting high again next year, won’t we? If we are drafting low, then there is a good chance that Jason can do a job only less than 2 score individuals on the planet can do.

Agree about Grossman. I think he’s a good team player and would be good at helping Jason and certainly a better than average step in if JC stumbles or gets hurt. Great insurance policy.

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 9, 2010 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Why the team has not even had discussions with Grossman is alarming.

It tells me one of two things; A: They don’t think much of him and hope to do better, or
                                                    B: The team is going cheap and hoping no one offers
                                                            Grossman anything, and they can sign him for a song.

Either way, there are not many quality back-ups in the league, they are in high demand, and the skins don’t have one. Some concern is warranted at this off-season strategy because while they are showing restraint and ‘change’, they are not building a very good football team here. Take a good look around, they are not constructing anything, they are de-constructing this team piece by piece. This is shaping up as a complete blow-up and start from scratch rebuild.

by johnnydee83 on Mar 9, 2010 5:54 PM EST up reply actions  

You leave off a disturbing scenario (to me at least)

That the Redskins think they already have the #1 backup on the roster, and intend to draft a starting QB.

And I’m a Jason Campbell fan.

by BillWard on Mar 9, 2010 6:52 PM EST up reply actions  

They have a lot of pressing issues

Kyle may have had discussions with Rexxy or his agent about being patient while they sort a myriad other issues out.

Don’t like the JC #1 backup scenario at all and I"m sure JC won’t like it either, so he will have every incentive to get the hell out of here if he has to play second fiddle to Clausen (what a nightmare in itself). They give big bucks to a rookie after JC got pounded for peanuts last year. WTF?

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 10, 2010 8:42 AM EST up reply actions  

If we are stupid enough,to keep Campbell for 1 more year,we will have another losing season

Campbell just does not have it,he may be a good back up QB,but he is an average starting QB at best,and that maybe is being too kind. I"LL keep saying it,over and over,we need to tender Campbell and get at least a 2nd or 3rd pick for him. Colt McCoy will be are new Francise QB IN THE DRAFT,we will get him in the 2nd round.

by ghost rider on Mar 10, 2010 11:26 AM EST up reply actions  

its about time

its about time someone gets it.the skins spend all this money every year and it gets them nowhere.they really should have been drafting OL years ago.this year i we can pick up Cliften from the packers and Foote from the steelers for free agents.We can do the rest though the draft.Use the 1st pick for a stud OL and 3rd pick for a RB i think we would be greatly improved

by SKINSFANCL on Mar 10, 2010 6:59 AM EST reply actions  

Clifton wanted GB

We were going to go hard after Clifton but he saw the number that would make him happy from GB and took it. Foote has said that he wants more money than Fujita got. He’s not worth it at his age. I’d rather teach Rocky to play middle than overpay at that position.

by RPMontana on Mar 10, 2010 10:40 AM EST up reply actions  

If Foote wants to play

he’ll agree to the best deal whether its what he wants or not. He can shine here and be instrumental as a leader. He’s worth more than just his contribution on the field.

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 10, 2010 10:54 AM EST up reply actions  

My money's on the Cards

I think the Cards will pay him Fujita money to replace Dansby.

by RPMontana on Mar 10, 2010 11:55 AM EST up reply actions  

I agree

"I am excited about starting 2009. We are looking forward to an outstanding year. We're on our way. We have a lot of healthy players this year." - Vinny Cerrato

by Kevin Ewoldt on Mar 10, 2010 12:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Reluctantly, yes.

Maybe a Wisenhunt – Spanos duel in play. Could be interesting.

Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.

by Scott E on Mar 10, 2010 2:54 PM EST up reply actions  

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