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Fantasy Watch: Players to Start/Sit In Redskins vs. Buccaneers Game

In our newest weekly segment, we will make Fantasy recommendations on the upcoming Redskins games. This week, the Buccaneers come to town and bring their 0-3 record and brand new quarterback in tow. At 1-2, the Redskins aren't exactly lighting the world on fire either.

Start

Jason Campbell, QB WAS - While the Redskins have yet to establish their offensive identity, Jason Campbell has very quietly become a decent starting fantasy quarterback. He is averaging about 265 yards per game and has a 92.6 QB rating. For the third week in a row, he gets a team that is strugg-a-ling. The Bucs are 31st in the league in total yards per game allowed and are giving up just slightly less than JC's per game average through the air. I expect Coach Zorn to continue to search for a rhythm in the passing game--despite the Buccaneers being second to last against the run. I hope I'm wrong, but with Portis ailing, I think Zorn leans on JC to move the ball.

Chris Cooley, TE WAS - Screens and short dump-offs to Cooley in the middle of the field will be the long handoffs that take the place of our running game. Campbell has been helping Cooley build another Pro Bowl resume so far this season--Chris is 4th in yards and receptions among all tight ends in the league. Only Owen Daniels (Texans) and Antonio Gates (Chargers) have a higher 1st down percentage (minimum of 15 receptions.)

Santana Moss, WR WAS - Moss has been a streaky fantasy player over the years, a fact that would lead me to bench him after his 178 yard performance. But Campbell has been targeting Moss more and he is currently the 14th most targeted wide receiver in the NFL (great stat). I would be ecstatic if they learned a lesson last week and spend most of his targeted plays in the middle of the field where has room to operate. One thing we know--he gets open, and he can get yards in huge chunks. Against a weak defense, he should be good for a few big plays.

Kellen Winslow, TE TB - The best friend of a young, inexperienced quarterback is a solid running game. In the absence of one of those, next on the list is a stud tight end. Despite his ability to blow up T.O.-style at any moment, you can't deny Winslow's talents. Josh Johnson will most likely be looking to get rid of the ball quickly and Winslow should get his catches underneath and on short routes to the sidelines. Looking at that offense, I just can't see starting anyone else wearing a Bucs jersey.

Washington Redskins, DEF - The Buccaneers managed just 86 total yards of offense last week against the Giants. The QB change tends to spark a little something when it is made, but Greg Blache has been around long enough to know what to do against a guy making his first NFL start (more on that below.) I will refrain from wondering aloud how this defense let the Lions march all over them last week and instead will say that this is a matchup that favors the Skins and unless you have a much better option, starting this defense is likely to benefit all fantasy owners.

Sit

Clinton Portis, RB WAS - What!!!??? For a lot of owners, they need CP to play like the elite runner we all believe he is. But he has yet to really bust out yet and I know I wasn't the only one who saw him limping around on the field against Detroit. I think he is already banged up enough to start losing regular carries to Ladell Betts and influence the way Zorn calls plays. I hope I am wrong on this too, but with the lack of any real attempt to establish the run on somebody, and the perceived health issues going into only Week 4, I would look at other options on your fantasy bench. By the way, I fully expect Portis to play on Sunday. I just think until the Redskins dedicate themselves to some semblance of a running game, his value is diminished in fantasy.

Josh Johnson, QB TB - Well, the Redskins did their best to get Stafford on the road to Canton last week, but I don't see that happening this week. Will he make a few plays that cause Redskins fans to curse and scream? Oh yeah. The Skins will make him look better than he is at times, but good defensive coordinators rarely get outclassed by quarterbacks making their first start. It's like there is a secret book somewhere that only defensive coordinators have access to and outlines the steps necessary to make a quarterback in his first start feel the heat. (There is only one page in this book, and it only has one word on it: BLITZ.)

Cadillac Williams, RB TB - Derrick Ward is technically the starter but both he and Williams are battling knee problems. If you are looking for a running back from Tampa Bay in the league rankings, you will have to scroll down pretty far before you get to Cadillac. He is getting about 38 yards per game--which is better than Ward. You figure the Redskins will make Josh Johnson beat them with his arm and will load up to keep the Bucs' running game from taking off.

For more fantasy articles and analysis, check in over at SBNation.com, where yours truly runs a fantasy mailbag and a weekly Start/Sit column covering the whole league.

0 recs  |  Comment 17 comments |

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The worst enemy of a young QB is a really mean Tight End from Miami that thinks he is better than he is, cough Shockey cough. K2 might scare JJ.

by pas493 on Oct 1, 2009 3:13 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sugar since your the fantasy guru

In my big money league I have a delimma this week I usually start Andre Johnson and Rowdy Roddy White at WR, but Rowdy has a a bye. So start ’em or sit ’em for one spot…

Mario Manningham vs. KC
Santana Mouse vs. TB
T.O. vs. Miami (Some punk dropped TO so I figured I give him a shot on my bench)

by pas493 on Oct 1, 2009 3:17 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hmmmmm...

Interestingly enough, KC and TB are neck-and-neck in passing defense, with TB allowing just 2 more yards per game than the Chiefs. What shocked me is that both of these teams fare better than the Dolphins, who allow a solid 20 more yards per game through the air. The Giants defense figures to get on and off the field quickly against the Chiefs, but last week we saw the Giants get their running game going against a lesser team and the result was fewer chances for Mario and the passing game. The Redskins defense should be able to get off the field on 3rd down with a raw quarterback but that has not been the case as of late. Even so, Santana Moss is the 14th highest targeted wide receiver in the NFL right now. With CP banged up and Zorn calling a heavy passing game, Moss makes the most sense…
IF…
you think TO will continue to get shut out. As much as I can’t stand T.O., he always got his numbers. In Buffalo though, they now have TWO stud running backs and a quarterback who is thrilled to dink and dunk the ball all day long—remember, it was J.P. Losman who hooked up the deep ball with Lee Evans best. And T.O. missed most of the preseason so him and Trent Edwards have not had a ton of time to get in sync.
Finally, the weather is going to be a factor in your decision. They are calling for thunderstorms in Miami, while in DC, they are calling for perfect passing weather.

Call me a homer if you will, but I would go with Moss this week over Manningham and Owens.

by Sugar on Oct 1, 2009 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Man I feel like I should pay for information this in depth. I think it going to be a gut game time decision between Mario and Moss.

by pas493 on Oct 1, 2009 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’d go with Moss being the game is going to be close and he is going to be needed. The Giants could end up just running the ball all day, so there is downside to playing Mario….you have to consider that Smith is demanding the ball too. I’d say Moss also has a bigger upside.

by liger99 on Oct 1, 2009 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

very tough call between those two
I think it going to be a gut game time decision between Mario and Moss.

It's all Dan Snyder's Fault

by smutsboy1 on Oct 1, 2009 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

fyi

Hixon is now practicing and was the starter over mario.

by liger99 on Oct 2, 2009 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Horton not starting.

Been kicked to second team… Blache is trying to say no mistakes, I guess.

Pas: Tana might be good, but Manningham vs. KC might be even better, as KC sucks in every way imaginable, and Manningham seems to have become BBM’s main WR threat. TO? Just say no. I was high on Buf preseason, but they are another team that’s getting primed to implode if something doesn’t happen, soon. And TO late in the season in the frozen north is Nada territory (I was high on TO as a fantasy pick until late October, then try to trade him to some sucker for something worthwhile after his numbers fall with the temperature, but his performance so far this year…. ugh! And I’m projecting this is the HIGH point of his season)

by BillWard on Oct 1, 2009 3:35 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I’m wondering if we sub in Horton for Orakpo at times for coverage purposes. Orakpo looks lost in coverage and just shuffles around like a crab. I’m with CJHutch the Orakpo/Jarmon defensive end era cannot start soon enough.

by pas493 on Oct 1, 2009 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

cosign

I'm to young to Die Danny...don't make me do it tomorrow....

by Rekka on Oct 1, 2009 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It is time to get Jarmon on the field more, but I don’t think he is ready to play nfc east games full-time. Dallas and NYG are mauling it right now…..can’t bench Daniels just yet. A strong-side edge of Jarmon/Orakpo(or other SLB)/Hall is not going to cut it. Give Jarmon a solid off-season strength program and he will be go to go next year.

by liger99 on Oct 1, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Josh Johnson

If anybody plans on starting Josh Johnson at any time, my buddies and I have a great league we’d love for you to join.

by VB O's Guy on Oct 1, 2009 4:04 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

My league the guy I’m playing QBs are McNabb and Leftwich. So now he has to choose to pick up and start either Johnson, Henne, Russell, or Seneca Wallace, haha.

by pas493 on Oct 1, 2009 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I play in a start-2-QB league and am starting Derek Anderson

shoot me.

Delhomme is on bye. Hasselbeck is hurt. And I figure DA is better than Seneca Wallace vs the Colts

It's all Dan Snyder's Fault

by smutsboy1 on Oct 1, 2009 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't Bother

Besides Coooley and A.R.E. (and 1 game for Moss), the Skins fantasy points have been nonexistent. I wouldn’t even start their defense this weekend.

by Elaw6 on Oct 1, 2009 4:21 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Can't sit Portis

I was thinking about sitting Portis in the one league that I have him, but the bye weeks are here and there is no choice. With ATL/PHI/ARZ/CAR on a bye, Portis is going in my flex at least. He could put up a zero or a 30…I would not be shocked by either number. But he is a better option than reaching for crusty old fred taylor verse baltimore or d ward verse the redskins.

by liger99 on Oct 1, 2009 5:20 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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