Perspective
We watched our team yesterday lose to a team much better than ours. The Giants are every bit as good as advertised.
They're the best running team in the NFL, so we stopped the run with our ever-beastly defense. So, they beat us without their best WR through the air against our secondary, our team's best strength.
They took our running game completely out of the picture and made Jason Campbell beat them with his arm. Per usual, sadly, he was not able to do it.
But it is time to address a few key issues that are worrying me, as well as to to understand what this season has taught us in the grand scheme of things.
First of all, we continue to lack any depth at WR beyond Santana Moss. For the Redskins to win, we need a big game from the three following players in this order: Clinton Portis, Santana Moss, Chris Cooley. All need to preoccupy the defense so that they adjust to one and then we give the ball to the other. Campbell, Randle-El, Betts, etc fall into place in those situations.
But like the last five seasons or so since Moss and Portis have been around, this works at times during the year when both of them are healthy and largely unaccounted for by defense, or when they overwhelm weaker personnel.
We have no backup plan. The Giants doubled Moss in every passing situation, it seemed like. Antwaan Randle-El, I love him, but he is not a #2 receiver. He has no one fooled. Devin Thomas and Malcolm Kelly need more time, but seem to have some raw tools that could help us in the long run.
This is a personnel issue that has hurt us for a long time. It is now to the point that we have everything else on offense except a legitimate #2 receiver. Clinton Portis is at a level higher than every other RB in the NFL, save maybe Adrian Peterson. Our offensive line is playing better -- only a few sacks for the Giants when the game still mattered yesterday -- and Campbell is making big strides but never has quality throwing options.
Santana Moss is not Randy Moss. He needs to be open, or at least single-covered, to make plays because of his size. With the addition of a LEGITIMATE #2 receiver, we have the most dangerous offense the Redskins have seen since the Fun Bunch. Any armchair defensive co-ordinator can come up with a gameplan for the Redskins. Ready? 7 in the box at all times to at least slow Portis. Safety coverage shifts to Moss's side. Put the other safety on Cooley's side and have a LB match up with him. Single-cover everyone else.
Game over!
Wes Welker helps Randy Moss, Amani Toomer/Hixon/etc help Burress (unless Burress goes to jail), Gary Clark helps Art Monk, etc. The model goes on forever. It is up to the coaches to decide whether or not Thomas and Kelly can actually perform to the level they *need* to in order to make this team a great team. If not, we have to make a move. Draft Darrius Heyward-Bey in this draft if need be! (Disclaimer: I am a Maryland student, went to high school with DHB, and am a blatant homer.) But seriously, a legit #2 would change things around here fast. Campbell's development would jump by bounds.
So that's the first thing. That would cure our main problem -- scoring points. Our defense is awesome, guys. As much as we could use Julius Peppers or Dwight Freeney or Justin Tuck on the DL, they get the job done for the most part. Jon Jansen is ready to be replaced by Stephon Heyer on the offensive line, but I think that will be remedied by the start of next season.
But let's take a look at the situation here.
The Redskins sit at 7-5, 3rd in the division. This time last year, we were thinking the playoffs were out of reach. Sean Taylor had died, our team was reeling, and we had little reason to believe. We finished the season in the playoffs at 9-7.
Joe Gibbs retires, we have to replace Sean Taylor with a rookie, our WR rookies have given us nothing, we have a rookie HC who gives every impression he has no clue what he's doing after the first game... and we're 7-5. We will beat Cincinnati and San Francisco, most likely, and it is not at all a stretch to think we can beat Baltimore and Philadelphia. 9-7 worst-case scenario here?
For any rookie head coach, that is quite a start. Especially considering we get the Giants and Cowboys twice a year, not to mention getting Pittsburgh and Arizona and New Orleans this year.
Clinton Portis is having the season of his career and Moss and Cooley are entrenched at the top of their positions. Our defense is getting better every year. We gained DeAngelo Hall and are not old enough as a group to be alarmed about slowing down. This is a team a few years away from legitimate greatness.
Imagine if we grab a legitimate #2 or Thomas/Kelly provide the skills that we need to advance as an offense. We've got it all. Another few years in the same system on both sides of the ball and the Redskins are a top team in the NFL, as we were earlier this season.
So for all of the haters saying that we're underacheiving or are hopeless, I remind you of the tumultuous offseason and midseason last year. I also remind you to never sleep on the Redskins in December. Last year, we were 6-7. We went 9-7. In 2005, we were 5-6 and then went 10-6. Every time, Clinton Portis took his game to another level.
If we go 10-6 and miss the playoffs, you can't ask much more from a rookie coach. Hell, guys, we could go 11-5. Our record is better than everyone else's that we're playing except the Ravens', who have beaten no one with a .500 record except the Eagles. There's no chance this team goes 7-9 or 8-8. I guarantee a winning record.
And if you think about it, we haven't had this good of a record by this point in the season in nearly a decade, have we? Never under Gibbs...
So don't despair. Believe me, it could get way worse. Don't sleep on the Redskins, not this year, not ever. We lost to 3 of the best teams in the NFL, who we all happened to play nearly consecutively. Let's hope we take our strongest game into Baltimore and turn this thing around!
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Redskins are who they are
Working on a post, but the Redskins are who they are this year. The top half of the NFL and NFC.
Even with the needs the future does show promise, with guys learning and getting better this year to hopefully make an impact next year.
by dr WNC on
Dec 1, 2008 4:52 PM EST
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Too true
I wasn’t too impressed by Campell’s performance, in particular his accuracy, and was getting a bit grumpy about it.
The truth is there though. Campbell is improving at an acceptable rate considering his experience. If he continues to improve at this pace, next year will be pleasurable to watch (assuming he can put the ball right on the spot instead of in the vicinity). This team is rebuilding, in scheme if not in personnel, and Campbell is growing in pace right alongside.
I keep feeling like this team could ignite at any moment. It reminds me of an old muscle car that, once finally started, growls throatily. Maybe the timing needs to be adjusted?
Everyone talks about Portis, but the truth is that without Campbell making short/medium third down conversions the offense will not move. I’m happy to hear that Zorn is thinking of simplifying the playcalling. The focus at the beginning was on getting Jason into a groove, and Zorny was very intent on him getting that first completion. I feel like that’s gotten lost somewhere. Lets hope that the simplicity and craftiness that got the team through the first half of the season returns to right the ship through the fourth quarter. And remember, the Skins’ have already weathered the worst of the storm in terms of their schedule. The Giants were the last bona fide great team they will face, and they stayed in that game through three quarters of smash mouthed football.
TTB!
by Ach on
Dec 1, 2008 7:07 PM EST
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More on Campbell--
He is improving at a good rate — especially considering he is still getting fully adjusted to this offense. It takes a full season, and he’s never been able to get in a groove. You have to give him credit considering that.
by mmford10 on
Dec 1, 2008 9:04 PM EST
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campbell's accuracy?
campbell’s accuracy is fine. he had about 5 dropped passes. on a couple of the deep routes he overthrew (which happens to everyone), but for the most part, i saw him putting the ball right where it needed to be yesterday.
by zknower on
Dec 1, 2008 9:46 PM EST
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In re accuracy
I saw the game on TV, but it seemed like Campbell was forcing his receivers to go to the ball.
It looked like lots of those drops were due (in part) to balls that were thrown above, below or behind the receiver. Throws like that also break the receiver’s momentum. When your MO on 3rd is throwing underneath and putting it in the hands of the receiver to make the 1st, giving them the ball in stride becomes critical.
TTB!
by Ach on
Dec 2, 2008 12:39 AM EST
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Yall should have a good number of fans
in the stadium for the ravens game… I mean you are just up the street.
I know the ravens havent really executed against good (or even average) teams with the exception of the Eagles & the Dolphins. But I feel the home field should give us a chance and hopefully we’ll pull it out. We’re trying to take our division.
Life is nothing but Beats & Rhymes
by Matchz Malone on
Dec 1, 2008 8:16 PM EST
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One quibble
Our defense is not “ever-beastly” right now. I saw a lot of bullshit missed tackles yesterday. I also saw a lot of situations where it was obvious the Giants would handoff to Jacobs up the middle (like in the 4th quarter when they were ahead), and we still couldn’t stop him. I’d like to see Blache be a little less predictable. And I’d like to see the guys getting back to good technique with the tackles.
Our defense is definitely more of the bend-don’t-break variety and that’s fine. But the guys are bending a little too far. As good as the Giants are, “holding them to only 23 points” is not something to brag about. A beastly defense would be holding them to a touchdown less than that.
And off topic, but Suisham, WTF? We are not going to win a lot of games if we can’t hit a 42-yard field goal consistently.
by zknower on
Dec 1, 2008 9:51 PM EST
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Consider...
That our defense is also on the field the entire game. Also, Brandon Jacobs had absolutely NO ground yards until the fourth quarter when the game was over. Had our offense kept pace with theirs, I guarantee there would have been different results. We’ve only given up the 6th most points in the league this season, yards per game, have the 7th best run defense, and 7th best pass defense. Meanwhile, our offense has scored less points than every team except: ready? Lions, Raiders, Rams, Bengals.
The pressure is completely on the defense. And to say they’ve delivered admirably is an understatement.
And you’re absolutely right about Suisham. When was the last time the Redskins felt really, really solid on special teams? I can’t remember. Probably the Chip Lohmiller years.
by mmford10 on
Dec 1, 2008 10:27 PM EST
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