About an 80% chance, good odds!
A little history lesson on precentages and averages,
Which yes, using precentages and averages it should have meant a loss at Dallas and Philly, so the Washington Redskins still need to execute and need to take care of business over the next "quarter" of the season but they have put themselves in a good position. A hidden message is to win the division the Redskins will have to overcome the trend of New York being at 5-0.
NFL Victory Trend Index from Pro Football Prospectus 2008 through Week 5 (data includes games since the 17-week format began in 1990 — excluding the 18-week 1993 season — through 2007).
Through five games, 6.4 percent of the teams were 5-0; 16.2 percent were 4-1; 27.9 percent were 3-2; 25.1 percent were 2-3; 19.0 percent were 1-4; and 5.4 percent were 0-5.
The average season-ending total wins for teams starting 5-0 was 12.4; teams starting 4-1 averaged 10.7 wins; teams starting 3-2 averaged 8.8 wins; teams starting 2-3 averaged 7.0 wins; teams starting 1-4 averaged 5.6 wins; and teams starting 0-5 averaged 3.7 wins.
Teams starting the season 5-0 reached the playoffs 96.4 percent of the time; teams starting 4-1 made the playoffs 80.6 percent of the time; teams starting 3-2 made the playoffs 50.0 percent of the time; teams starting 2-3 made the playoffs 6.0 percent of the time; and no team that started 0-5 made the playoffs